Build-A-Bear Workshop (BBW) trades at an 87% implied probability of beating its upcoming quarterly EPS, reflecting its consistent track record of positive surprises and margin resilience. In the first quarter of fiscal 2026, the company delivered adjusted EPS of $1.03 against analyst estimates of $0.76, driven by a 700-basis-point gross margin expansion from cost efficiencies and a one-time tariff refund, despite a modest revenue decline. Commercial segment growth of 34% has offset softer retail and e-commerce trends, supporting pre-tax income guidance of $72–78 million for the full year. With the next earnings release scheduled for August 27 and analysts modeling roughly $0.70 EPS, trader consensus prices in continued outperformance on operating leverage and capital return programs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Build-A-Bear Workshop releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Build-A-Bear Workshop releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Resolution Source
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Build-A-Bear Workshop (BBW) trades at an 87% implied probability of beating its upcoming quarterly EPS, reflecting its consistent track record of positive surprises and margin resilience. In the first quarter of fiscal 2026, the company delivered adjusted EPS of $1.03 against analyst estimates of $0.76, driven by a 700-basis-point gross margin expansion from cost efficiencies and a one-time tariff refund, despite a modest revenue decline. Commercial segment growth of 34% has offset softer retail and e-commerce trends, supporting pre-tax income guidance of $72–78 million for the full year. With the next earnings release scheduled for August 27 and analysts modeling roughly $0.70 EPS, trader consensus prices in continued outperformance on operating leverage and capital return programs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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