Boston by Stella Lefty holds a commanding 98.1% market-implied probability for the Billboard Hot 100 #2 spot in the week of August 29, reflecting overwhelming trader consensus around its current streaming velocity, radio airplay gains, and sales trajectory heading into chart lock. Established artists like Taylor Swift and Ariana Grande sit at 1.4% and 0.1% respectively, underscoring how late-cycle data and release timing favor the emerging track over potential big-name interruptions. An upset remains possible if any major release posts an outsized debut or if final streaming adjustments shift the ranking, though historical patterns show few reversals this close to the tracking period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBillboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of August 29
Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of August 29
Boston - Stella Lefty 98.2%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift 1.4%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen 1.4%
Petal - Ariana Grande <1%
$13,047 Vol.
$13,047 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
Boston - Stella Lefty
98%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
1%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen
1%
Petal - Ariana Grande
<1%
Be Her - Ella Langley
<1%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
<1%
Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo
<1%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
<1%
Boston - Stella Lefty 98.2%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift 1.4%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen 1.4%
Petal - Ariana Grande <1%
$13,047 Vol.
$13,047 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
Boston - Stella Lefty
$5,582 Vol.
98%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
$2,908 Vol.
1%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen
$2,126 Vol.
1%
Petal - Ariana Grande
$358 Vol.
<1%
Be Her - Ella Langley
$422 Vol.
<1%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
$462 Vol.
<1%
Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo
$508 Vol.
<1%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
$680 Vol.
<1%
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of August 29, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Boston by Stella Lefty holds a commanding 98.1% market-implied probability for the Billboard Hot 100 #2 spot in the week of August 29, reflecting overwhelming trader consensus around its current streaming velocity, radio airplay gains, and sales trajectory heading into chart lock. Established artists like Taylor Swift and Ariana Grande sit at 1.4% and 0.1% respectively, underscoring how late-cycle data and release timing favor the emerging track over potential big-name interruptions. An upset remains possible if any major release posts an outsized debut or if final streaming adjustments shift the ranking, though historical patterns show few reversals this close to the tracking period.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of August 29, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of August 29, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 4:42 PM ET
Volume
$13,047End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 4:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of August 29, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Boston by Stella Lefty holds a commanding 98.1% market-implied probability for the Billboard Hot 100 #2 spot in the week of August 29, reflecting overwhelming trader consensus around its current streaming velocity, radio airplay gains, and sales trajectory heading into chart lock. Established artists like Taylor Swift and Ariana Grande sit at 1.4% and 0.1% respectively, underscoring how late-cycle data and release timing favor the emerging track over potential big-name interruptions. An upset remains possible if any major release posts an outsized debut or if final streaming adjustments shift the ranking, though historical patterns show few reversals this close to the tracking period.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of August 29, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
This market will resolve according to the number 2 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of August 29, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Volume
$13,047End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 4:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Boston by Stella Lefty holds a commanding 98.1% market-implied probability for the Billboard Hot 100 #2 spot in the week of August 29, reflecting overwhelming trader consensus around its current streaming velocity, radio airplay gains, and sales trajectory heading into chart lock. Established artists like Taylor Swift and Ariana Grande sit at 1.4% and 0.1% respectively, underscoring how late-cycle data and release timing favor the emerging track over potential big-name interruptions. An upset remains possible if any major release posts an outsized debut or if final streaming adjustments shift the ranking, though historical patterns show few reversals this close to the tracking period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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