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icon for Sam Smith 'Hazel Eyes' First Week Album Sales?

Sam Smith 'Hazel Eyes' First Week Album Sales?

icon for Sam Smith 'Hazel Eyes' First Week Album Sales?

Sam Smith 'Hazel Eyes' First Week Album Sales?

ENHYPEN 'The Sin: Bliss'

Sam Smith 'Hazel Eyes'

Sep 4

Sep 4

ENHYPEN 'The Sin: Bliss'

Sam Smith 'Hazel Eyes'

Sep 4

Sep 4

<20k 87.5%

25-30k 7%

20-25k 4.9%

40k+ 2.7%

Polymarket
NEW

<20k 87.5%

25-30k 7%

20-25k 4.9%

40k+ 2.7%

Polymarket
NEW

<20k

$1,317 Vol.

88%

20-25k

$538 Vol.

5%

25-30k

$4,979 Vol.

7%

30-35k

$291 Vol.

2%

35-40k

$273 Vol.

2%

40k+

$287 Vol.

3%

Sam Smith's new album 'Hazel Eyes' is expected to release August 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Sam Smith's album 'Hazel Eyes', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'Hazel Eyes' has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album's debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Sam Smith’s fifth studio album *Hazel Eyes*, released August 21 via Capitol, enters a marketplace shaped by the artist’s steadily declining first-week numbers, with 2023’s *Gloria* posting a career-low 39,000 equivalent units. Early streaming data—roughly 1.85 million Spotify streams on day one—aligns with modest pre-release traction from lead singles “My Guy” and “When He’s Gone,” fueling trader consensus that pure sales will land well below 20,000. Historical patterns for mid-career pop releases, limited current chart momentum, and competition from stronger debuts this frame reinforce the heavy weighting toward the sub-20k bracket, with any meaningful upside requiring an unusually strong second-half tracking surge before the Billboard 200 locks.

Sam Smith's new album 'Hazel Eyes' is expected to release August 21, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Sam Smith's album 'Hazel Eyes', according to Hits Daily Double.

If the album 'Hazel Eyes' has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the album's debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$7,685
End Date
Aug 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 2:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Sam Smith's new album 'Hazel Eyes' is expected to release August 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Sam Smith's album 'Hazel Eyes', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'Hazel Eyes' has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album's debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Sam Smith's new album 'Hazel Eyes' is expected to release August 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Sam Smith's album 'Hazel Eyes', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'Hazel Eyes' has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album's debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Sam Smith’s fifth studio album *Hazel Eyes*, released August 21 via Capitol, enters a marketplace shaped by the artist’s steadily declining first-week numbers, with 2023’s *Gloria* posting a career-low 39,000 equivalent units. Early streaming data—roughly 1.85 million Spotify streams on day one—aligns with modest pre-release traction from lead singles “My Guy” and “When He’s Gone,” fueling trader consensus that pure sales will land well below 20,000. Historical patterns for mid-career pop releases, limited current chart momentum, and competition from stronger debuts this frame reinforce the heavy weighting toward the sub-20k bracket, with any meaningful upside requiring an unusually strong second-half tracking surge before the Billboard 200 locks.

Sam Smith's new album 'Hazel Eyes' is expected to release August 21, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Sam Smith's album 'Hazel Eyes', according to Hits Daily Double.

If the album 'Hazel Eyes' has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the album's debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$7,685
End Date
Aug 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 2:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Sam Smith's new album 'Hazel Eyes' is expected to release August 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Sam Smith's album 'Hazel Eyes', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'Hazel Eyes' has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album's debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Sam Smith 'Hazel Eyes' First Week Album Sales?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<20k" at 88%, followed by "25-30k" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 88¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Sam Smith 'Hazel Eyes' First Week Album Sales?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Sam Smith 'Hazel Eyes' First Week Album Sales?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Sam Smith 'Hazel Eyes' First Week Album Sales?" is "<20k" at 88%, meaning the market assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "25-30k" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Sam Smith 'Hazel Eyes' First Week Album Sales?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.