Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" commands 96.4% implied probability for the Billboard Hot 100 #1 the week of September 5 because the country single has already logged 18 consecutive weeks at the summit, shattering records for the longest non-holiday run by a solo female artist. Sustained streaming volume, radio airplay, and sales have kept it ahead of all competitors, with country tracks occupying the top spots for months. Traders see little near-term threat from new releases or catalog surges. An upset would require an unusually dominant debut from a major artist like Taylor Swift or Ariana Grande timed precisely to the tracking week, or an abrupt drop in Langley's consumption metrics that has not materialized despite the song's extended run.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBillboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of September 5
Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of September 5
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 75.4%
Boston - Stella Lefty 2.4%
Be Her - Ella Langley 2.1%
Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo 1.1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
75%
Boston - Stella Lefty
2%
Be Her - Ella Langley
2%
Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo
1%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
1%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen
1%
Petal - Ariana Grande
1%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
1%
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley 75.4%
Boston - Stella Lefty 2.4%
Be Her - Ella Langley 2.1%
Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo 1.1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley
$470 Vol.
75%
Boston - Stella Lefty
$109 Vol.
2%
Be Her - Ella Langley
$173 Vol.
2%
Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo
$220 Vol.
1%
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande
$161 Vol.
1%
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen
$183 Vol.
1%
Petal - Ariana Grande
$663 Vol.
1%
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift
$689 Vol.
1%
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 5, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" commands 96.4% implied probability for the Billboard Hot 100 #1 the week of September 5 because the country single has already logged 18 consecutive weeks at the summit, shattering records for the longest non-holiday run by a solo female artist. Sustained streaming volume, radio airplay, and sales have kept it ahead of all competitors, with country tracks occupying the top spots for months. Traders see little near-term threat from new releases or catalog surges. An upset would require an unusually dominant debut from a major artist like Taylor Swift or Ariana Grande timed precisely to the tracking week, or an abrupt drop in Langley's consumption metrics that has not materialized despite the song's extended run.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 5, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 5, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
Volume
$2,666End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 5, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" commands 96.4% implied probability for the Billboard Hot 100 #1 the week of September 5 because the country single has already logged 18 consecutive weeks at the summit, shattering records for the longest non-holiday run by a solo female artist. Sustained streaming volume, radio airplay, and sales have kept it ahead of all competitors, with country tracks occupying the top spots for months. Traders see little near-term threat from new releases or catalog surges. An upset would require an unusually dominant debut from a major artist like Taylor Swift or Ariana Grande timed precisely to the tracking week, or an abrupt drop in Langley's consumption metrics that has not materialized despite the song's extended run.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 5, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of September 5, 2026”. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.
Volume
$2,666End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ella Langley's "Choosin' Texas" commands 96.4% implied probability for the Billboard Hot 100 #1 the week of September 5 because the country single has already logged 18 consecutive weeks at the summit, shattering records for the longest non-holiday run by a solo female artist. Sustained streaming volume, radio airplay, and sales have kept it ahead of all competitors, with country tracks occupying the top spots for months. Traders see little near-term threat from new releases or catalog surges. An upset would require an unusually dominant debut from a major artist like Taylor Swift or Ariana Grande timed precisely to the tracking week, or an abrupt drop in Langley's consumption metrics that has not materialized despite the song's extended run.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions