Arthur Fils captured the Cincinnati Open title with a straight-sets victory over Frances Tiafoe in the final on outdoor hard courts, capping a dominant run that included a semifinal win over Flavio Cobolli to reach his first ATP Masters 1000 final. The 22-year-old Frenchman’s consistent form, strong serving, and aggressive baseline play on the fast surface propelled market consensus toward near-certainty, reflecting confirmed tournament results and the absence of late withdrawals or injuries affecting the draw. Other entrants, including Tiafoe at minimal implied probability, faced elimination through earlier rounds. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes in similar late-stage events include unexpected retirements, weather delays on the Cincinnati courts, or dramatic comebacks in deciding sets, though none materialized here.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedArthur Fils 100.0%
Learner Tien 8.5%
Alexander Bublik 1.7%
Ben Shelton 1.0%
$169,427 Vol.
$169,427 Vol.
Carlos Alcaraz
No
Daniel Altmaier
No
Matteo Arnaldi
No
Terence Atmane
No
Felix Auger-Aliassime
No
Sebastian Baez
No
Zizou Bergs
No
Matteo Berrettini
No
Alexander Blockx
No
Nuno Borges
No
Jenson Brooksby
No
Alexander Bublik
No
Roman Andres Burruchaga
No
Ignacio Buse
No
Pablo Carreno Busta
No
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
No
Francisco Cerundolo
No
Jan Choinski
No
Flavio Cobolli
No
Raphael Collignon
No
Luciano Darderi
No
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
No
Jesper de Jong
No
Alex de Minaur
No
Novak Djokovic
No
James Duckworth
No
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
No
Arthur Fery
No
Arthur Fils
Yes
Joao Fonseca
No
Taylor Fritz
No
Tallon Griekspoor
No
Yannick Hanfmann
No
Ugo Humbert
No
Hubert Hurkacz
No
Rafael Jodar
No
Miomir Kecmanovic
No
Karen Khachanov
No
Vit Kopriva
No
Sebastian Korda
No
Aleksandar Kovacevic
No
Martin Landaluce
No
Jiri Lehecka
No
Tomas Machac
No
Kamil Majchrzak
No
Adrian Mannarino
No
Fabian Marozsan
No
Hamad Medjedovic
No
Daniil Medvedev
No
Jakub Mensik
No
Alex Michelsen
No
Corentin Moutet
No
Jaume Munar
No
Lorenzo Musetti
No
Brandon Nakashima
No
Mariano Navone
No
Cameron Norrie
No
Tommy Paul
No
Ethan Quinn
No
Arthur Rinderknech
No
Andrey Rublev
No
Holger Rune
No
Casper Ruud
No
Juncheng Shang
No
Denis Shapovalov
No
Ben Shelton
No
Jannik Sinner
No
Jan-Lennard Struff
No
Zachary Svajda
No
Alejandro Tabilo
No
Frances Tiafoe
No
Learner Tien
No
Thiago Agustin Tirante
No
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
No
Valentin Vacherot
No
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
No
Botic van de Zandschulp
No
Alexander Zverev
No
Arthur Fils 100.0%
Learner Tien 8.5%
Alexander Bublik 1.7%
Ben Shelton 1.0%
$169,427 Vol.
$169,427 Vol.
Carlos Alcaraz
No
Daniel Altmaier
No
Matteo Arnaldi
No
Terence Atmane
No
Felix Auger-Aliassime
No
Sebastian Baez
No
Zizou Bergs
No
Matteo Berrettini
No
Alexander Blockx
No
Nuno Borges
No
Jenson Brooksby
No
Alexander Bublik
No
Roman Andres Burruchaga
No
Ignacio Buse
No
Pablo Carreno Busta
No
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
No
Francisco Cerundolo
No
Jan Choinski
No
Flavio Cobolli
No
Raphael Collignon
No
Luciano Darderi
No
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
No
Jesper de Jong
No
Alex de Minaur
No
Novak Djokovic
No
James Duckworth
No
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
No
Arthur Fery
No
Arthur Fils
Yes
Joao Fonseca
No
Taylor Fritz
No
Tallon Griekspoor
No
Yannick Hanfmann
No
Ugo Humbert
No
Hubert Hurkacz
No
Rafael Jodar
No
Miomir Kecmanovic
No
Karen Khachanov
No
Vit Kopriva
No
Sebastian Korda
No
Aleksandar Kovacevic
No
Martin Landaluce
No
Jiri Lehecka
No
Tomas Machac
No
Kamil Majchrzak
No
Adrian Mannarino
No
Fabian Marozsan
No
Hamad Medjedovic
No
Daniil Medvedev
No
Jakub Mensik
No
Alex Michelsen
No
Corentin Moutet
No
Jaume Munar
No
Lorenzo Musetti
No
Brandon Nakashima
No
Mariano Navone
No
Cameron Norrie
No
Tommy Paul
No
Ethan Quinn
No
Arthur Rinderknech
No
Andrey Rublev
No
Holger Rune
No
Casper Ruud
No
Juncheng Shang
No
Denis Shapovalov
No
Ben Shelton
No
Jannik Sinner
No
Jan-Lennard Struff
No
Zachary Svajda
No
Alejandro Tabilo
No
Frances Tiafoe
No
Learner Tien
No
Thiago Agustin Tirante
No
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
No
Valentin Vacherot
No
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
No
Botic van de Zandschulp
No
Alexander Zverev
No
If this tournament is postponed after September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If the final is not completed and no champion is officially crowned, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer and the ATP Tour (https://www.atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 11:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If this tournament is postponed after September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If the final is not completed and no champion is officially crowned, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer and the ATP Tour (https://www.atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Arthur Fils captured the Cincinnati Open title with a straight-sets victory over Frances Tiafoe in the final on outdoor hard courts, capping a dominant run that included a semifinal win over Flavio Cobolli to reach his first ATP Masters 1000 final. The 22-year-old Frenchman’s consistent form, strong serving, and aggressive baseline play on the fast surface propelled market consensus toward near-certainty, reflecting confirmed tournament results and the absence of late withdrawals or injuries affecting the draw. Other entrants, including Tiafoe at minimal implied probability, faced elimination through earlier rounds. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes in similar late-stage events include unexpected retirements, weather delays on the Cincinnati courts, or dramatic comebacks in deciding sets, though none materialized here.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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