Delaware's 2026 U.S. Senate contest features incumbent Chris Coons seeking reelection in a state with a strong Democratic lean, where all major forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic. With primaries scheduled for September 15 and the general election on November 3, trader prices across turnout buckets from under 275,000 to 450,000-plus remain tightly clustered in the low-to-mid 40s percent. This reflects limited recent catalysts to drive voter mobilization or suppression in a low-profile, non-competitive race. Baseline factors such as historical midterm participation patterns, early voting access, and typical absentee ballot volumes keep multiple ranges viable without clear separation. Upcoming primary results or any late-cycle developments could shift expectations, but absent competitive dynamics or high-stakes policy debates, the market shows balanced uncertainty over final turnout levels.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated325K-350K 43%
275K-300K 40%
400K-425K 39%
475K+ 38%
<275K
37%
275K-300K
40%
300K-325K
38%
325K-350K
43%
350K-375K
38%
375K-400K
38%
400K-425K
39%
425K-450K
35%
450K-475K
37%
475K+
38%
325K-350K 43%
275K-300K 40%
400K-425K 39%
475K+ 38%
<275K
37%
275K-300K
40%
300K-325K
38%
325K-350K
43%
350K-375K
38%
375K-400K
38%
400K-425K
39%
425K-450K
35%
450K-475K
37%
475K+
38%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 10:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Delaware, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Delaware's 2026 U.S. Senate contest features incumbent Chris Coons seeking reelection in a state with a strong Democratic lean, where all major forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic. With primaries scheduled for September 15 and the general election on November 3, trader prices across turnout buckets from under 275,000 to 450,000-plus remain tightly clustered in the low-to-mid 40s percent. This reflects limited recent catalysts to drive voter mobilization or suppression in a low-profile, non-competitive race. Baseline factors such as historical midterm participation patterns, early voting access, and typical absentee ballot volumes keep multiple ranges viable without clear separation. Upcoming primary results or any late-cycle developments could shift expectations, but absent competitive dynamics or high-stakes policy debates, the market shows balanced uncertainty over final turnout levels.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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