President Donald Trump has maintained elevated Truth Social activity throughout his second term, with daily averages of 18–27 posts reported across multiple analyses in 2026 and occasional multi-hour sprees exceeding 50 posts. This pattern, driven by commentary on foreign policy including the ongoing Iran situation, domestic political endorsements, and frequent use of images or video, underpins the market's leading 52.5% probability for 200+ posts in the September 8–15 window. Eight days at sustained volumes near or above recent averages makes that range the trader consensus, while lower brackets reflect the possibility of quieter periods amid scheduled events or reduced news flow. Historical peaks during active conflicts or campaign cycles further support expectations of elevated output.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDonald Trump # Truth Social posts September 8 - September 15, 2026?
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 8 - September 15, 2026?
200+ 53%
180-199 16%
160-179 13%
40-59 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 15, 2026
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
9%
60-79
4%
80-99
4%
100-119
4%
120-139
4%
140-159
4%
160-179
13%
180-199
16%
200+
53%
200+ 53%
180-199 16%
160-179 13%
40-59 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 15, 2026
<20
$160 Vol.
1%
20-39
$8 Vol.
1%
40-59
$8 Vol.
9%
60-79
$0 Vol.
4%
80-99
$0 Vol.
4%
100-119
$0 Vol.
4%
120-139
$0 Vol.
4%
140-159
$0 Vol.
4%
160-179
$6 Vol.
13%
180-199
$28 Vol.
16%
200+
$297 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Donald Trump has maintained elevated Truth Social activity throughout his second term, with daily averages of 18–27 posts reported across multiple analyses in 2026 and occasional multi-hour sprees exceeding 50 posts. This pattern, driven by commentary on foreign policy including the ongoing Iran situation, domestic political endorsements, and frequent use of images or video, underpins the market's leading 52.5% probability for 200+ posts in the September 8–15 window. Eight days at sustained volumes near or above recent averages makes that range the trader consensus, while lower brackets reflect the possibility of quieter periods amid scheduled events or reduced news flow. Historical peaks during active conflicts or campaign cycles further support expectations of elevated output.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$507End Date
Sep 15, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Donald Trump has maintained elevated Truth Social activity throughout his second term, with daily averages of 18–27 posts reported across multiple analyses in 2026 and occasional multi-hour sprees exceeding 50 posts. This pattern, driven by commentary on foreign policy including the ongoing Iran situation, domestic political endorsements, and frequent use of images or video, underpins the market's leading 52.5% probability for 200+ posts in the September 8–15 window. Eight days at sustained volumes near or above recent averages makes that range the trader consensus, while lower brackets reflect the possibility of quieter periods amid scheduled events or reduced news flow. Historical peaks during active conflicts or campaign cycles further support expectations of elevated output.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$507End Date
Sep 15, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Donald Trump has maintained elevated Truth Social activity throughout his second term, with daily averages of 18–27 posts reported across multiple analyses in 2026 and occasional multi-hour sprees exceeding 50 posts. This pattern, driven by commentary on foreign policy including the ongoing Iran situation, domestic political endorsements, and frequent use of images or video, underpins the market's leading 52.5% probability for 200+ posts in the September 8–15 window. Eight days at sustained volumes near or above recent averages makes that range the trader consensus, while lower brackets reflect the possibility of quieter periods amid scheduled events or reduced news flow. Historical peaks during active conflicts or campaign cycles further support expectations of elevated output.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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