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icon for DP World Tour: Irish Open First Round Leader
Sports·Golf

DP World Tour: Irish Open First Round Leader

icon for DP World Tour: Irish Open First Round Leader
Sports·Golf

DP World Tour: Irish Open First Round Leader

Winner

Top 5

Top 10

Top 20

Winner

Top 5

Top 10

Top 20

Jordan Smith 74%

Padraig Harrington 74%

Jon Rahm 35%

Joaquin Niemann 34%

Polymarket
NEW

Jordan Smith 74%

Padraig Harrington 74%

Jon Rahm 35%

Joaquin Niemann 34%

Polymarket
NEW

Jordan Smith

$0 Vol.

74%

Padraig Harrington

$0 Vol.

74%

Jon Rahm

$0 Vol.

35%

Joaquin Niemann

$0 Vol.

34%

Alex Fitzpatrick

$0 Vol.

33%

Matt Wallace

$0 Vol.

33%

Matthew Jordan

$0 Vol.

33%

Oliver Lindell

$0 Vol.

33%

Brooks Koepka

$0 Vol.

33%

Jacob Skov Olesen

$0 Vol.

33%

Angel Ayora

$0 Vol.

33%

Adrian Meronk

$0 Vol.

32%

Adrian Otaegui

$0 Vol.

32%

Alejandro Del Rey

$0 Vol.

32%

Liam Nolan

$0 Vol.

32%

Luke Donald

$0 Vol.

32%

Manuel Elvira

$0 Vol.

32%

Marcus Helligkilde

$0 Vol.

32%

Max Kennedy

$0 Vol.

32%

Mikael Lindberg

$0 Vol.

32%

Oihan Guillamoundeguy

$0 Vol.

32%

Angel Hidalgo

$0 Vol.

32%

Antoine Rozner

$0 Vol.

32%

Ashun Wu

$0 Vol.

32%

Ben Schmidt

$0 Vol.

32%

Bernd Wiesberger

$0 Vol.

32%

Brandon Robinson-Thompson

$0 Vol.

32%

Brandon Stone

$0 Vol.

32%

Daniel Bradbury

$0 Vol.

32%

Daniel Hillier

$0 Vol.

32%

David Micheluzzi

$0 Vol.

32%

Dylan Frittelli

$0 Vol.

32%

Dylan Naidoo

$0 Vol.

32%

Gregorio De Leo

$0 Vol.

32%

Hennie Du Plessis

$0 Vol.

32%

Ignacio Elvira

$0 Vol.

32%

Jason Scrivener

$0 Vol.

32%

Jayden Schaper

$0 Vol.

32%

Jeff Winther

$0 Vol.

32%

Jeong-Weon Ko

$0 Vol.

32%

Joseph Dean

$0 Vol.

32%

Eddie Pepperell

$0 Vol.

32%

Ewen Ferguson

$0 Vol.

32%

Francesco Laporta

$0 Vol.

32%

Frankie Capan

$0 Vol.

32%

Freddy Schott

$0 Vol.

32%

Grant Forrest

$0 Vol.

32%

Guido Migliozzi

$0 Vol.

32%

Haotong Li

$0 Vol.

32%

Ivan Cantero

$0 Vol.

32%

J. C. Ritchie

$0 Vol.

32%

Jack Senior

$0 Vol.

32%

Jacques Kruyswijk

$0 Vol.

32%

Jens Dantorp

$0 Vol.

32%

Joel Girrbach

$0 Vol.

32%

Johannes Veerman

$0 Vol.

32%

John Catlin

$0 Vol.

32%

Joost Luiten

$0 Vol.

32%

Jordan Gumberg

$0 Vol.

32%

Jorge Campillo

$0 Vol.

32%

Andy Sullivan

$0 Vol.

32%

Connor Syme

$0 Vol.

32%

Cormac Sharvin

$0 Vol.

32%

Daniel Rodrigues

$0 Vol.

32%

Danny Willett

$0 Vol.

32%

Darius van Driel

$0 Vol.

32%

Davis Bryant

$0 Vol.

32%

Francesco Molinari

$0 Vol.

32%

Mark Power

$0 Vol.

32%

Martin Couvra

$0 Vol.

32%

Matteo Manassero

$0 Vol.

32%

Michael Hollick

$0 Vol.

32%

Nathan Kimsey

$0 Vol.

32%

Kazuma Kobori

$0 Vol.

32%

Kyoung-Hoon Lee

$0 Vol.

32%

Laurie Canter

$0 Vol.

32%

Marcus Armitage

$0 Vol.

32%

Nicolai von Dellingshausen

$0 Vol.

32%

Niklas Lemke

$0 Vol.

32%

Niklas Noergaard

$0 Vol.

32%

Nicolai Hoejgaard

$0 Vol.

31%

Casey Jarvis

$0 Vol.

31%

Daniel Gavins

$0 Vol.

31%

Harry Hall

$0 Vol.

31%

Joakim Lagergren

$0 Vol.

31%

David Puig

$0 Vol.

31%

Marcel Schneider

$0 Vol.

30%

Pablo Larrazabal

$0 Vol.

30%

David Ravetto

$0 Vol.

30%

Calum Hill

$0 Vol.

30%

Julien Guerrier

$0 Vol.

30%

Jung-Hwan Lee

$0 Vol.

30%

Paul Waring

$0 Vol.

30%

Patrick Reed

$0 Vol.

29%

Maximilian Steinlechner

$0 Vol.

28%

Kiradech Aphibarnrat

$0 Vol.

28%

Kota Kaneko

$0 Vol.

28%

Frederic Lacroix

$0 Vol.

27%

Erik van Rooyen

$0 Vol.

27%

Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra

$0 Vol.

22%

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Irish Open with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.**Trader consensus on the DP World Tour Irish Open first-round leader at Trump International Doonbeg reflects the inherent unpredictability of opening-round scoring on a new links venue exposed to coastal winds.** Jordan Smith and home favorite Padraig Harrington lead at 37% each, ahead of Jon Rahm at 17.5%, with a deep group clustered around 16-17%. Smith arrives in solid recent form after strong showings at the Open Championship and Scottish Open, while Harrington brings Irish links knowledge and local motivation despite mixed major results. Rahm, a two-time past champion, carries star power but sits lower in this specific market. The tight distribution stems from variable tee times, gusty conditions that can reward accurate ball-strikers and short-game specialists on any given day, and a large field where consistent recent first-round scoring (as seen with players like Oliver Lindell) or course familiarity offers edges without guaranteeing dominance. Historical patterns on similar exposed layouts show low scoring often comes from mid-tier contenders rather than outright favorites.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Irish Open with the lowest cumulative score to par.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Irish Open with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Volume
$0
End Date
Sep 14, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 11:12 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.europeantour.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Irish Open with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.**Trader consensus on the DP World Tour Irish Open first-round leader at Trump International Doonbeg reflects the inherent unpredictability of opening-round scoring on a new links venue exposed to coastal winds.** Jordan Smith and home favorite Padraig Harrington lead at 37% each, ahead of Jon Rahm at 17.5%, with a deep group clustered around 16-17%. Smith arrives in solid recent form after strong showings at the Open Championship and Scottish Open, while Harrington brings Irish links knowledge and local motivation despite mixed major results. Rahm, a two-time past champion, carries star power but sits lower in this specific market. The tight distribution stems from variable tee times, gusty conditions that can reward accurate ball-strikers and short-game specialists on any given day, and a large field where consistent recent first-round scoring (as seen with players like Oliver Lindell) or course familiarity offers edges without guaranteeing dominance. Historical patterns on similar exposed layouts show low scoring often comes from mid-tier contenders rather than outright favorites.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Irish Open with the lowest cumulative score to par.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Irish Open with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Volume
$0
End Date
Sep 14, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 11:12 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.europeantour.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"DP World Tour: Irish Open First Round Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 100+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jordan Smith" at 37%, followed by "Padraig Harrington" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"DP World Tour: Irish Open First Round Leader" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "DP World Tour: Irish Open First Round Leader," browse the 100+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "DP World Tour: Irish Open First Round Leader" is "Jordan Smith" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Padraig Harrington" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "DP World Tour: Irish Open First Round Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.