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Sports·Tiger Woods

Will Tiger Woods play in a PGA Tournament in 2026?

icon for Will Tiger Woods play in a PGA Tournament in 2026?
Sports·Tiger Woods

Will Tiger Woods play in a PGA Tournament in 2026?

4% chance
Polymarket
NEW
4% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods participates as a player in any official PGA Tour-sanctioned tournament or major championship during the 2026 PGA Tour season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any appearance as a player during any main tournament round will qualify. No practice rounds, Par 3 tournaments or other play of any kind will be considered. If Tiger Woods retires, has not participated, or it cannot be determined he has participated in a PGA Tour sanctioned tournament between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the PGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus heavily favors Tiger Woods not competing in any PGA Tour event in 2026, reflecting his extended absence from competitive golf amid persistent physical and personal challenges.** At age 50, Woods has not played an official PGA Tour round since the 2024 Open Championship, with his 2025 and 2026 seasons derailed first by a ruptured Achilles tendon and lumbar disc replacement surgery, then by a March 2026 rollover crash and DUI arrest that prompted a multi-month rehabilitation stay in Switzerland. He has made only limited non-competitive appearances, such as a June 2026 PGA Tour announcement, while missing every major and declining the U.S. Senior Open. Ongoing legal proceedings, including a September 2026 court date, and his history of multiple back surgeries further limit realistic playing windows. While permanent major exemptions remain, the combination of recovery timelines, health priorities, and lack of any recent competitive activity underpins the market’s strong positioning; a late-year return would require substantial, confirmed progress not yet evident in public reports.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods participates as a player in any official PGA Tour-sanctioned tournament or major championship during the 2026 PGA Tour season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any appearance as a player during any main tournament round will qualify. No practice rounds, Par 3 tournaments or other play of any kind will be considered.

If Tiger Woods retires, has not participated, or it cannot be determined he has participated in a PGA Tour sanctioned tournament between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the PGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$486
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 1:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods participates as a player in any official PGA Tour-sanctioned tournament or major championship during the 2026 PGA Tour season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any appearance as a player during any main tournament round will qualify. No practice rounds, Par 3 tournaments or other play of any kind will be considered. If Tiger Woods retires, has not participated, or it cannot be determined he has participated in a PGA Tour sanctioned tournament between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the PGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods participates as a player in any official PGA Tour-sanctioned tournament or major championship during the 2026 PGA Tour season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any appearance as a player during any main tournament round will qualify. No practice rounds, Par 3 tournaments or other play of any kind will be considered. If Tiger Woods retires, has not participated, or it cannot be determined he has participated in a PGA Tour sanctioned tournament between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the PGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus heavily favors Tiger Woods not competing in any PGA Tour event in 2026, reflecting his extended absence from competitive golf amid persistent physical and personal challenges.** At age 50, Woods has not played an official PGA Tour round since the 2024 Open Championship, with his 2025 and 2026 seasons derailed first by a ruptured Achilles tendon and lumbar disc replacement surgery, then by a March 2026 rollover crash and DUI arrest that prompted a multi-month rehabilitation stay in Switzerland. He has made only limited non-competitive appearances, such as a June 2026 PGA Tour announcement, while missing every major and declining the U.S. Senior Open. Ongoing legal proceedings, including a September 2026 court date, and his history of multiple back surgeries further limit realistic playing windows. While permanent major exemptions remain, the combination of recovery timelines, health priorities, and lack of any recent competitive activity underpins the market’s strong positioning; a late-year return would require substantial, confirmed progress not yet evident in public reports.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods participates as a player in any official PGA Tour-sanctioned tournament or major championship during the 2026 PGA Tour season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any appearance as a player during any main tournament round will qualify. No practice rounds, Par 3 tournaments or other play of any kind will be considered.

If Tiger Woods retires, has not participated, or it cannot be determined he has participated in a PGA Tour sanctioned tournament between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the PGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$486
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 1:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods participates as a player in any official PGA Tour-sanctioned tournament or major championship during the 2026 PGA Tour season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any appearance as a player during any main tournament round will qualify. No practice rounds, Par 3 tournaments or other play of any kind will be considered. If Tiger Woods retires, has not participated, or it cannot be determined he has participated in a PGA Tour sanctioned tournament between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the PGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Tiger Woods play in a PGA Tournament in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 4% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 4¢, the market collectively assigns a 4% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Tiger Woods play in a PGA Tournament in 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Tiger Woods play in a PGA Tournament in 2026?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Tiger Woods play in a PGA Tournament in 2026?" is 4% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 4% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Tiger Woods play in a PGA Tournament in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.