A deep, star-studded field at the links test of Trump International Doonbeg keeps third-round leader probabilities tightly bunched across dozens of contenders. Defending champion Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, Shane Lowry, Patrick Reed, Brooks Koepka, and Robert MacIntyre headline a group featuring multiple Ryder Cup players and recent DP World Tour form leaders such as Matt Wallace, Alex Fitzpatrick, and Nicolai Højgaard. Links conditions reward ball-striking accuracy, short-game versatility, and wind management, factors that historically produce volatile mid-tournament leaderboards rather than runaway frontrunners. Recent groupings and pre-event momentum show no single player separating decisively, leaving trader consensus reflected in the narrow spread as the field prepares for Thursday's opening round.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAdrian Meronk 74%
Adrian Otaegui 74%
Alex Fitzpatrick 74%
Andy Sullivan 74%
Adrian Meronk
74%
Adrian Otaegui
74%
Alex Fitzpatrick
74%
Andy Sullivan
74%
Angel Ayora
74%
Antoine Rozner
74%
Ashun Wu
74%
Ben Schmidt
74%
Bernd Wiesberger
74%
Brandon Robinson-Thompson
74%
Brandon Stone
74%
Casey Jarvis
74%
Connor Syme
74%
Cormac Sharvin
74%
Daniel Bradbury
74%
Daniel Gavins
74%
Daniel Hillier
74%
Daniel Rodrigues
74%
Danny Willett
74%
Darius van Driel
74%
David Puig
74%
Davis Bryant
74%
Dylan Naidoo
74%
Eddie Pepperell
74%
Erik van Rooyen
74%
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
74%
Francesco Laporta
74%
Francesco Molinari
74%
Frankie Capan
74%
Freddy Schott
74%
Frederic Lacroix
74%
Grant Forrest
74%
Gregorio De Leo
74%
Guido Migliozzi
74%
Haotong Li
74%
Harry Hall
74%
Hennie Du Plessis
74%
Ignacio Elvira
74%
Ivan Cantero
74%
J. C. Ritchie
74%
Jack Senior
74%
Jacob Skov Olesen
74%
Jacques Kruyswijk
74%
Jason Scrivener
74%
Jayden Schaper
74%
Jeff Winther
74%
Jeong-Weon Ko
74%
Joakim Lagergren
74%
Joaquin Niemann
74%
Joel Girrbach
74%
Johannes Veerman
74%
John Catlin
74%
Jon Rahm
74%
Joost Luiten
74%
Jordan Gumberg
74%
Jorge Campillo
74%
Julien Guerrier
74%
Kazuma Kobori
74%
Kiradech Aphibarnrat
74%
Kota Kaneko
74%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
74%
Laurie Canter
74%
Liam Nolan
74%
Luke Donald
74%
Manuel Elvira
74%
Marcel Schneider
74%
Marcus Armitage
74%
Marcus Helligkilde
74%
Mark Power
74%
Martin Couvra
74%
Matt Wallace
74%
Matteo Manassero
74%
Matthew Jordan
74%
Max Kennedy
74%
Maximilian Steinlechner
74%
Michael Hollick
74%
Mikael Lindberg
74%
Nathan Kimsey
74%
Nicolai Hoejgaard
74%
Nicolai von Dellingshausen
74%
Niklas Lemke
74%
Oihan Guillamoundeguy
74%
Oliver Lindell
74%
Pablo Larrazabal
74%
Padraig Harrington
74%
Patrick Reed
74%
Paul Waring
74%
Alejandro Del Rey
73%
Angel Hidalgo
73%
Brooks Koepka
73%
Calum Hill
73%
David Micheluzzi
73%
David Ravetto
73%
Dylan Frittelli
73%
Ewen Ferguson
73%
Jens Dantorp
73%
Jordan Smith
73%
Joseph Dean
73%
Jung-Hwan Lee
73%
Niklas Noergaard
73%
Adrian Meronk 74%
Adrian Otaegui 74%
Alex Fitzpatrick 74%
Andy Sullivan 74%
Adrian Meronk
74%
Adrian Otaegui
74%
Alex Fitzpatrick
74%
Andy Sullivan
74%
Angel Ayora
74%
Antoine Rozner
74%
Ashun Wu
74%
Ben Schmidt
74%
Bernd Wiesberger
74%
Brandon Robinson-Thompson
74%
Brandon Stone
74%
Casey Jarvis
74%
Connor Syme
74%
Cormac Sharvin
74%
Daniel Bradbury
74%
Daniel Gavins
74%
Daniel Hillier
74%
Daniel Rodrigues
74%
Danny Willett
74%
Darius van Driel
74%
David Puig
74%
Davis Bryant
74%
Dylan Naidoo
74%
Eddie Pepperell
74%
Erik van Rooyen
74%
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
74%
Francesco Laporta
74%
Francesco Molinari
74%
Frankie Capan
74%
Freddy Schott
74%
Frederic Lacroix
74%
Grant Forrest
74%
Gregorio De Leo
74%
Guido Migliozzi
74%
Haotong Li
74%
Harry Hall
74%
Hennie Du Plessis
74%
Ignacio Elvira
74%
Ivan Cantero
74%
J. C. Ritchie
74%
Jack Senior
74%
Jacob Skov Olesen
74%
Jacques Kruyswijk
74%
Jason Scrivener
74%
Jayden Schaper
74%
Jeff Winther
74%
Jeong-Weon Ko
74%
Joakim Lagergren
74%
Joaquin Niemann
74%
Joel Girrbach
74%
Johannes Veerman
74%
John Catlin
74%
Jon Rahm
74%
Joost Luiten
74%
Jordan Gumberg
74%
Jorge Campillo
74%
Julien Guerrier
74%
Kazuma Kobori
74%
Kiradech Aphibarnrat
74%
Kota Kaneko
74%
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
74%
Laurie Canter
74%
Liam Nolan
74%
Luke Donald
74%
Manuel Elvira
74%
Marcel Schneider
74%
Marcus Armitage
74%
Marcus Helligkilde
74%
Mark Power
74%
Martin Couvra
74%
Matt Wallace
74%
Matteo Manassero
74%
Matthew Jordan
74%
Max Kennedy
74%
Maximilian Steinlechner
74%
Michael Hollick
74%
Mikael Lindberg
74%
Nathan Kimsey
74%
Nicolai Hoejgaard
74%
Nicolai von Dellingshausen
74%
Niklas Lemke
74%
Oihan Guillamoundeguy
74%
Oliver Lindell
74%
Pablo Larrazabal
74%
Padraig Harrington
74%
Patrick Reed
74%
Paul Waring
74%
Alejandro Del Rey
73%
Angel Hidalgo
73%
Brooks Koepka
73%
Calum Hill
73%
David Micheluzzi
73%
David Ravetto
73%
Dylan Frittelli
73%
Ewen Ferguson
73%
Jens Dantorp
73%
Jordan Smith
73%
Joseph Dean
73%
Jung-Hwan Lee
73%
Niklas Noergaard
73%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 3 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 11:13 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.europeantour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Irish Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 3 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Resolution Source
https://www.europeantour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A deep, star-studded field at the links test of Trump International Doonbeg keeps third-round leader probabilities tightly bunched across dozens of contenders. Defending champion Rory McIlroy, Jon Rahm, Shane Lowry, Patrick Reed, Brooks Koepka, and Robert MacIntyre headline a group featuring multiple Ryder Cup players and recent DP World Tour form leaders such as Matt Wallace, Alex Fitzpatrick, and Nicolai Højgaard. Links conditions reward ball-striking accuracy, short-game versatility, and wind management, factors that historically produce volatile mid-tournament leaderboards rather than runaway frontrunners. Recent groupings and pre-event momentum show no single player separating decisively, leaving trader consensus reflected in the narrow spread as the field prepares for Thursday's opening round.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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