**A wide-open DP World Tour field at Trump International Golf Links produced uniformly low 0.1% implied probabilities across dozens of entrants, reflecting trader consensus on the event’s competitive balance.** The links layout—with thick marram rough, firm elevated greens, and exposure to coastal wind—rewards strong tee-to-green play and course management over raw power, flattening the odds among players with comparable recent form and links experience. Key differentiators include recent strokes-gained data on similar Scottish or windy layouts, current Race to Dubai positioning (which carries season-long implications), and any home or regional advantages for Scottish or European contenders. Local knowledge and prior performances on the venue or comparable tracks separate a handful of names, yet the absence of dominant recent winners or major champions in peak form keeps the market evenly distributed. Official injury reports and last-minute withdrawals remain minimal, preserving the broad parity that defines the pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFilippo Celli 19.0%
Adria Arnaus <1%
Adrian Otaegui <1%
Albin Bergstroem <1%
$6,083 Vol.
$6,083 Vol.
Adria Arnaus
No
Adrian Otaegui
No
Albin Bergstroem
No
Casey Jarvis
No
Clement Charmasson
No
Connor McKinney
No
Connor Syme
No
Daniel Brown
No
Daniel Gavins
No
Daniel Rodrigues
No
Daniel van Tonder
No
Daniel Young
No
David Law
No
David Micheluzzi
No
David Ravetto
No
Davis Bryant
No
Deon Germishuys
No
Dylan Frittelli
No
Dylan Naidoo
No
Eddie Pepperell
No
Eliot Baker
No
Euan Walker
No
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
No
Fabrizio Zanotti
No
Felix Mory
No
Frederico Biondi
No
Grant Forrest
No
Haydn McCullen
No
Hugo Townsend
No
James Morrison
No
Jason Scrivener
No
Joakim Lagergren
No
Joel Girrbach
No
Jonas Baumgartner
No
Joshua Berry
No
Jovan Rebula
No
Julien Guerrier
No
Jung-Hwan Lee
No
Marcus Armitage
No
Martin Laird
No
Maximilian Kieffer
No
Michael Hollick
No
Michael Mjaaseth
No
Nicolai von Dellingshausen
No
Alfredo Garcia-Heredia
No
Alvaro Quiros
No
Andreas Halvorsen
No
Andres Gallegos
No
Andrew Wilson
No
Andy Sullivan
No
Anthony Quayle
No
Barclay Brown
No
Ben Schmidt
No
Benjamin Follett-Smith
No
Benjamin Hebert
No
Borja Virto
No
Brandon Robinson-Thompson
No
Brandon Stone
No
Callum Tarren
No
Calum Fyfe
No
Cameron Adam
No
Ewen Ferguson
No
Gavin Green
No
Gregor Graham
No
Haotong Li
No
Johannes Veerman
No
John Daly Jr.
No
Jorge Campillo
No
Joseph Dean
No
Kazuma Kobori
No
Liam Johnston
No
Marcel Siem
No
Marcus Kinhult
No
Martin Couvra
No
Matthew Baldwin
No
Matthew Jordan
No
Matthew Southgate
No
Nathan Kimsey
No
Niklas Noergaard
No
Alexander Levy
No
Filippo Celli
No
Hunter Logan
No
Ivan Cantero
No
Jack Buchanan
No
Jack Senior
No
Jack Yule
No
Jacob Skov Olesen
No
Jens Dantorp
No
Julian Perico
No
Keita Nakajima
No
Kiradech Aphibarnrat
No
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
No
Lucas Bjerregaard
No
Lukas Nemecz
No
M. J. Daffue
No
Manuel Elvira
No
Matteo Manassero
No
Matthieu Pavon
No
Maximilian Steinlechner
No
Mike Toorop
No
Filippo Celli 19.0%
Adria Arnaus <1%
Adrian Otaegui <1%
Albin Bergstroem <1%
$6,083 Vol.
$6,083 Vol.
Adria Arnaus
No
Adrian Otaegui
No
Albin Bergstroem
No
Casey Jarvis
No
Clement Charmasson
No
Connor McKinney
No
Connor Syme
No
Daniel Brown
No
Daniel Gavins
No
Daniel Rodrigues
No
Daniel van Tonder
No
Daniel Young
No
David Law
No
David Micheluzzi
No
David Ravetto
No
Davis Bryant
No
Deon Germishuys
No
Dylan Frittelli
No
Dylan Naidoo
No
Eddie Pepperell
No
Eliot Baker
No
Euan Walker
No
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra
No
Fabrizio Zanotti
No
Felix Mory
No
Frederico Biondi
No
Grant Forrest
No
Haydn McCullen
No
Hugo Townsend
No
James Morrison
No
Jason Scrivener
No
Joakim Lagergren
No
Joel Girrbach
No
Jonas Baumgartner
No
Joshua Berry
No
Jovan Rebula
No
Julien Guerrier
No
Jung-Hwan Lee
No
Marcus Armitage
No
Martin Laird
No
Maximilian Kieffer
No
Michael Hollick
No
Michael Mjaaseth
No
Nicolai von Dellingshausen
No
Alfredo Garcia-Heredia
No
Alvaro Quiros
No
Andreas Halvorsen
No
Andres Gallegos
No
Andrew Wilson
No
Andy Sullivan
No
Anthony Quayle
No
Barclay Brown
No
Ben Schmidt
No
Benjamin Follett-Smith
No
Benjamin Hebert
No
Borja Virto
No
Brandon Robinson-Thompson
No
Brandon Stone
No
Callum Tarren
No
Calum Fyfe
No
Cameron Adam
No
Ewen Ferguson
No
Gavin Green
No
Gregor Graham
No
Haotong Li
No
Johannes Veerman
No
John Daly Jr.
No
Jorge Campillo
No
Joseph Dean
No
Kazuma Kobori
No
Liam Johnston
No
Marcel Siem
No
Marcus Kinhult
No
Martin Couvra
No
Matthew Baldwin
No
Matthew Jordan
No
Matthew Southgate
No
Nathan Kimsey
No
Niklas Noergaard
No
Alexander Levy
No
Filippo Celli
No
Hunter Logan
No
Ivan Cantero
No
Jack Buchanan
No
Jack Senior
No
Jack Yule
No
Jacob Skov Olesen
No
Jens Dantorp
No
Julian Perico
No
Keita Nakajima
No
Kiradech Aphibarnrat
No
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
No
Lucas Bjerregaard
No
Lukas Nemecz
No
M. J. Daffue
No
Manuel Elvira
No
Matteo Manassero
No
Matthieu Pavon
No
Maximilian Steinlechner
No
Mike Toorop
No
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Nexo Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Nexo Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by DP World Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by August 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.europeantour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Nexo Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Nexo Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by DP World Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by August 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Resolution Source
https://www.europeantour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**A wide-open DP World Tour field at Trump International Golf Links produced uniformly low 0.1% implied probabilities across dozens of entrants, reflecting trader consensus on the event’s competitive balance.** The links layout—with thick marram rough, firm elevated greens, and exposure to coastal wind—rewards strong tee-to-green play and course management over raw power, flattening the odds among players with comparable recent form and links experience. Key differentiators include recent strokes-gained data on similar Scottish or windy layouts, current Race to Dubai positioning (which carries season-long implications), and any home or regional advantages for Scottish or European contenders. Local knowledge and prior performances on the venue or comparable tracks separate a handful of names, yet the absence of dominant recent winners or major champions in peak form keeps the market evenly distributed. Official injury reports and last-minute withdrawals remain minimal, preserving the broad parity that defines the pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions