Kimi Antonelli leads the F1 Action of the Year market at 33% implied probability due to his standout sophomore campaign with Mercedes, featuring multiple dominant wins, poles, and consistent high-stakes maneuvers that have defined the 2026 season. Max Verstappen sits close behind at 27% on the strength of his experience and occasional highlight-reel drives despite Red Bull's challenges and his long-term contract extension. Lewis Hamilton at 12.6% benefits from a Ferrari resurgence and veteran skill in tight battles. The tight bunched field reflects ongoing uncertainty in the remaining races, where late-season overtakes, recoveries, or dramatic wheel-to-wheel action could still shift trader consensus among the broader grid.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKimi Antonelli 33%
Max Verstappen 27.1%
Arvid Lindblad 5.1%
Gabriel Bortoleto 4.3%
$169,237 Vol.
$169,237 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
33%
Max Verstappen
27%
Arvid Lindblad
5%
Gabriel Bortoleto
4%
Franco Colapinto
4%
Carlos Sainz
4%
Lewis Hamilton
13%
Lando Norris
3%
Liam Lawson
3%
George Russell
3%
Alexander Albon
3%
Nico Hulkenberg
3%
Charles Leclerc
3%
Esteban Ocon
3%
Isack Hadjar
3%
Oscar Piastri
2%
Fernando Alonso
2%
Pierre Gasly
1%
Sergio Perez
1%
Lance Stroll
1%
Oliver Bearman
1%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Kimi Antonelli 33%
Max Verstappen 27.1%
Arvid Lindblad 5.1%
Gabriel Bortoleto 4.3%
$169,237 Vol.
$169,237 Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
33%
Max Verstappen
27%
Arvid Lindblad
5%
Gabriel Bortoleto
4%
Franco Colapinto
4%
Carlos Sainz
4%
Lewis Hamilton
13%
Lando Norris
3%
Liam Lawson
3%
George Russell
3%
Alexander Albon
3%
Nico Hulkenberg
3%
Charles Leclerc
3%
Esteban Ocon
3%
Isack Hadjar
3%
Oscar Piastri
2%
Fernando Alonso
2%
Pierre Gasly
1%
Sergio Perez
1%
Lance Stroll
1%
Oliver Bearman
1%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 10, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kimi Antonelli leads the F1 Action of the Year market at 33% implied probability due to his standout sophomore campaign with Mercedes, featuring multiple dominant wins, poles, and consistent high-stakes maneuvers that have defined the 2026 season. Max Verstappen sits close behind at 27% on the strength of his experience and occasional highlight-reel drives despite Red Bull's challenges and his long-term contract extension. Lewis Hamilton at 12.6% benefits from a Ferrari resurgence and veteran skill in tight battles. The tight bunched field reflects ongoing uncertainty in the remaining races, where late-season overtakes, recoveries, or dramatic wheel-to-wheel action could still shift trader consensus among the broader grid.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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