Seasonal influenza activity remains minimal in mid-August 2026, with CDC FluSurv-NET reporting weekly hospitalization rates of 0.0 per 100,000 population in recent weeks 30 and 31 amid low virus positivity under 1% and no widespread outbreaks. Warmer temperatures, higher humidity, and reduced indoor crowding suppress influenza stability and transmission, keeping rates near the 0.1 threshold that defines the closely matched market outcomes. Sporadic cases, primarily among older adults, combined with surveillance reporting lags and small absolute numbers create genuine uncertainty around exact weekly figures. Upcoming FluView updates will clarify whether minor fluctuations or adjustments push the rate below, at, or above 0.1 per 100,000.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFlu Hospitalization Rate Week 33, 2026?
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0.1 50%
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0.1
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0.1 50%
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0.1
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The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 11:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Seasonal influenza activity remains minimal in mid-August 2026, with CDC FluSurv-NET reporting weekly hospitalization rates of 0.0 per 100,000 population in recent weeks 30 and 31 amid low virus positivity under 1% and no widespread outbreaks. Warmer temperatures, higher humidity, and reduced indoor crowding suppress influenza stability and transmission, keeping rates near the 0.1 threshold that defines the closely matched market outcomes. Sporadic cases, primarily among older adults, combined with surveillance reporting lags and small absolute numbers create genuine uncertainty around exact weekly figures. Upcoming FluView updates will clarify whether minor fluctuations or adjustments push the rate below, at, or above 0.1 per 100,000.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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