Seasonal influenza activity remains low across the United States in mid-August 2026, with CDC FluSurv-NET data showing weekly hospitalization rates at or near the 0.1 per 100,000 population threshold during recent summer weeks such as Week 32. Warmer temperatures, higher humidity, and reduced indoor crowding continue to limit influenza virus stability and transmission, producing flu positivity rates below 1% and no widespread outbreaks. Recent Week 25 and Week 27 observations registered exactly 0.1, while cumulative rates reflect the prior season’s elevated burden rather than current circulation. Trader consensus at equal implied probabilities for <0.1, =0.1, or >0.1 outcomes stems from uncertainty over sporadic cases, minor reporting adjustments, or model variability that could shift the preliminary rate above or below the precise 0.1 cutoff before final surveillance resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFlu Hospitalization Rate Week 33, 2026?
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 33, 2026?
<0.1 50%
0.1 50%
>0.1 50%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
<0.1
50%
0.1
50%
>0.1
50%
<0.1 50%
0.1 50%
>0.1 50%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
<0.1
$0 Vol.
50%
0.1
$0 Vol.
50%
>0.1
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Seasonal influenza activity remains low across the United States in mid-August 2026, with CDC FluSurv-NET data showing weekly hospitalization rates at or near the 0.1 per 100,000 population threshold during recent summer weeks such as Week 32. Warmer temperatures, higher humidity, and reduced indoor crowding continue to limit influenza virus stability and transmission, producing flu positivity rates below 1% and no widespread outbreaks. Recent Week 25 and Week 27 observations registered exactly 0.1, while cumulative rates reflect the prior season’s elevated burden rather than current circulation. Trader consensus at equal implied probabilities for <0.1, =0.1, or >0.1 outcomes stems from uncertainty over sporadic cases, minor reporting adjustments, or model variability that could shift the preliminary rate above or below the precise 0.1 cutoff before final surveillance resolution.
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 11:58 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Seasonal influenza activity remains low across the United States in mid-August 2026, with CDC FluSurv-NET data showing weekly hospitalization rates at or near the 0.1 per 100,000 population threshold during recent summer weeks such as Week 32. Warmer temperatures, higher humidity, and reduced indoor crowding continue to limit influenza virus stability and transmission, producing flu positivity rates below 1% and no widespread outbreaks. Recent Week 25 and Week 27 observations registered exactly 0.1, while cumulative rates reflect the prior season’s elevated burden rather than current circulation. Trader consensus at equal implied probabilities for <0.1, =0.1, or >0.1 outcomes stems from uncertainty over sporadic cases, minor reporting adjustments, or model variability that could shift the preliminary rate above or below the precise 0.1 cutoff before final surveillance resolution.
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Seasonal influenza activity remains low across the United States in mid-August 2026, with CDC FluSurv-NET data showing weekly hospitalization rates at or near the 0.1 per 100,000 population threshold during recent summer weeks such as Week 32. Warmer temperatures, higher humidity, and reduced indoor crowding continue to limit influenza virus stability and transmission, producing flu positivity rates below 1% and no widespread outbreaks. Recent Week 25 and Week 27 observations registered exactly 0.1, while cumulative rates reflect the prior season’s elevated burden rather than current circulation. Trader consensus at equal implied probabilities for <0.1, =0.1, or >0.1 outcomes stems from uncertainty over sporadic cases, minor reporting adjustments, or model variability that could shift the preliminary rate above or below the precise 0.1 cutoff before final surveillance resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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