The closely matched Polymarket bins for Kansas's November 3, 2026 Senate election turnout reflect uncertainty over mobilization in a Likely Republican contest between incumbent Roger Marshall and Democrat Adam Hamilton. With roughly 2 million registered voters and a projected 4–5 point margin, the non-competitive Senate race limits crossover or protest voting, while national midterm dynamics—including economic pressures from tariffs and foreign policy—shape base enthusiasm. Recent August primaries and November ballot measures on judicial selection and citizenship voting requirements could modestly increase participation through added salience, yet historical patterns for Kansas midterms and limited early voting momentum keep totals clustered in the 800K–1.2M range absent major late developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<800K 33%
1M-1.1M 33%
1.1M-1.2M 33%
1.2M+ 33%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<800K
33%
800K-900K
28%
900K-1M
27%
1M-1.1M
33%
1.1M-1.2M
33%
1.2M+
33%
<800K 33%
1M-1.1M 33%
1.1M-1.2M 33%
1.2M+ 33%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<800K
$0 Vol.
33%
800K-900K
$0 Vol.
28%
900K-1M
$0 Vol.
27%
1M-1.1M
$0 Vol.
33%
1.1M-1.2M
$0 Vol.
33%
1.2M+
$0 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched Polymarket bins for Kansas's November 3, 2026 Senate election turnout reflect uncertainty over mobilization in a Likely Republican contest between incumbent Roger Marshall and Democrat Adam Hamilton. With roughly 2 million registered voters and a projected 4–5 point margin, the non-competitive Senate race limits crossover or protest voting, while national midterm dynamics—including economic pressures from tariffs and foreign policy—shape base enthusiasm. Recent August primaries and November ballot measures on judicial selection and citizenship voting requirements could modestly increase participation through added salience, yet historical patterns for Kansas midterms and limited early voting momentum keep totals clustered in the 800K–1.2M range absent major late developments.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched Polymarket bins for Kansas's November 3, 2026 Senate election turnout reflect uncertainty over mobilization in a Likely Republican contest between incumbent Roger Marshall and Democrat Adam Hamilton. With roughly 2 million registered voters and a projected 4–5 point margin, the non-competitive Senate race limits crossover or protest voting, while national midterm dynamics—including economic pressures from tariffs and foreign policy—shape base enthusiasm. Recent August primaries and November ballot measures on judicial selection and citizenship voting requirements could modestly increase participation through added salience, yet historical patterns for Kansas midterms and limited early voting momentum keep totals clustered in the 800K–1.2M range absent major late developments.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched Polymarket bins for Kansas's November 3, 2026 Senate election turnout reflect uncertainty over mobilization in a Likely Republican contest between incumbent Roger Marshall and Democrat Adam Hamilton. With roughly 2 million registered voters and a projected 4–5 point margin, the non-competitive Senate race limits crossover or protest voting, while national midterm dynamics—including economic pressures from tariffs and foreign policy—shape base enthusiasm. Recent August primaries and November ballot measures on judicial selection and citizenship voting requirements could modestly increase participation through added salience, yet historical patterns for Kansas midterms and limited early voting momentum keep totals clustered in the 800K–1.2M range absent major late developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000?
38%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be between 1,400,000 and 1,500,000?
41%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado be 3,000,000 or more?
36%
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions