**South Korea’s Democratic Party holds a supermajority in the National Assembly, creating a structural barrier to impeachment that requires a two-thirds vote the opposition People Power Party cannot reach without major defections.** President Lee Jae-myung has maintained approval ratings near 50-60 percent through mid-2026, supported by his party’s gains in the June 2026 local elections and a focus on pragmatic governance following his June 2025 inauguration after Yoon Suk-yeol’s removal. A June 2026 National Assembly petition calling for Lee’s impeachment gathered over 100,000 signatures but gained no legislative traction, reflecting the ruling party’s control of the chamber and the absence of scandals capable of fracturing its ranks before the 2028 general election. Traders therefore assign low probability to any successful motion passing before the end of 2026, consistent with these institutional and electoral realities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
11% chance
$21,566 Vol.
$21,566 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
11% chance
$21,566 Vol.
$21,566 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**South Korea’s Democratic Party holds a supermajority in the National Assembly, creating a structural barrier to impeachment that requires a two-thirds vote the opposition People Power Party cannot reach without major defections.** President Lee Jae-myung has maintained approval ratings near 50-60 percent through mid-2026, supported by his party’s gains in the June 2026 local elections and a focus on pragmatic governance following his June 2025 inauguration after Yoon Suk-yeol’s removal. A June 2026 National Assembly petition calling for Lee’s impeachment gathered over 100,000 signatures but gained no legislative traction, reflecting the ruling party’s control of the chamber and the absence of scandals capable of fracturing its ranks before the 2028 general election. Traders therefore assign low probability to any successful motion passing before the end of 2026, consistent with these institutional and electoral realities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Volume
$21,566End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**South Korea’s Democratic Party holds a supermajority in the National Assembly, creating a structural barrier to impeachment that requires a two-thirds vote the opposition People Power Party cannot reach without major defections.** President Lee Jae-myung has maintained approval ratings near 50-60 percent through mid-2026, supported by his party’s gains in the June 2026 local elections and a focus on pragmatic governance following his June 2025 inauguration after Yoon Suk-yeol’s removal. A June 2026 National Assembly petition calling for Lee’s impeachment gathered over 100,000 signatures but gained no legislative traction, reflecting the ruling party’s control of the chamber and the absence of scandals capable of fracturing its ranks before the 2028 general election. Traders therefore assign low probability to any successful motion passing before the end of 2026, consistent with these institutional and electoral realities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$21,566End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**South Korea’s Democratic Party holds a supermajority in the National Assembly, creating a structural barrier to impeachment that requires a two-thirds vote the opposition People Power Party cannot reach without major defections.** President Lee Jae-myung has maintained approval ratings near 50-60 percent through mid-2026, supported by his party’s gains in the June 2026 local elections and a focus on pragmatic governance following his June 2025 inauguration after Yoon Suk-yeol’s removal. A June 2026 National Assembly petition calling for Lee’s impeachment gathered over 100,000 signatures but gained no legislative traction, reflecting the ruling party’s control of the chamber and the absence of scandals capable of fracturing its ranks before the 2028 general election. Traders therefore assign low probability to any successful motion passing before the end of 2026, consistent with these institutional and electoral realities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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