**Meta’s current market capitalization sits near $1.40 trillion at a share price around $550, placing the $1.25–$1.50T bracket as the clear leader in the final week of August 2026.** This positioning stems primarily from Meta’s robust advertising business, which delivered 28% year-over-year revenue growth to $60.8 billion in the most recent quarter, supported by AI-driven improvements in recommendations and ad efficiency. However, heavy capital expenditures on AI infrastructure—projected to reach up to $145 billion for the year—have pressured margins and contributed to a significant pullback from July highs near $1.7 trillion. Recent developments, including the start of a multi-state youth safety trial alleging platform addictiveness and data issues with minors, have added regulatory overhang and weighed on sentiment, while new proprietary models such as the Muse Spark series demonstrate ongoing AI progress without immediately translating to valuation gains. With minimal trading days remaining before month-end and no major catalysts on the immediate horizon, trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors stability within the current range rather than a rapid rebound toward $2 trillion or a deeper drop below $1.25 trillion.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1.25-$1.50T 72%
$2.00-$2.25T 23.5%
$1.50-$1.75T <1%
<$1.00T <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
<$1.00T
<1%
$1.00-$1.25T
<1%
$1.25-$1.50T
72%
$1.50-$1.75T
<1%
$1.75-$2.00T
<1%
$2.00-$2.25T
15%
$2.25T+
<1%
$1.25-$1.50T 72%
$2.00-$2.25T 23.5%
$1.50-$1.75T <1%
<$1.00T <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
<$1.00T
$300 Vol.
<1%
$1.00-$1.25T
$379 Vol.
<1%
$1.25-$1.50T
$2,825 Vol.
72%
$1.50-$1.75T
$524 Vol.
<1%
$1.75-$2.00T
$211 Vol.
<1%
$2.00-$2.25T
$289 Vol.
15%
$2.25T+
$181 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.**Meta’s current market capitalization sits near $1.40 trillion at a share price around $550, placing the $1.25–$1.50T bracket as the clear leader in the final week of August 2026.**
This positioning stems primarily from Meta’s robust advertising business, which delivered 28% year-over-year revenue growth to $60.8 billion in the most recent quarter, supported by AI-driven improvements in recommendations and ad efficiency. However, heavy capital expenditures on AI infrastructure—projected to reach up to $145 billion for the year—have pressured margins and contributed to a significant pullback from July highs near $1.7 trillion. Recent developments, including the start of a multi-state youth safety trial alleging platform addictiveness and data issues with minors, have added regulatory overhang and weighed on sentiment, while new proprietary models such as the Muse Spark series demonstrate ongoing AI progress without immediately translating to valuation gains. With minimal trading days remaining before month-end and no major catalysts on the immediate horizon, trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors stability within the current range rather than a rapid rebound toward $2 trillion or a deeper drop below $1.25 trillion.
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ET
Volume
$4,710End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.**Meta’s current market capitalization sits near $1.40 trillion at a share price around $550, placing the $1.25–$1.50T bracket as the clear leader in the final week of August 2026.**
This positioning stems primarily from Meta’s robust advertising business, which delivered 28% year-over-year revenue growth to $60.8 billion in the most recent quarter, supported by AI-driven improvements in recommendations and ad efficiency. However, heavy capital expenditures on AI infrastructure—projected to reach up to $145 billion for the year—have pressured margins and contributed to a significant pullback from July highs near $1.7 trillion. Recent developments, including the start of a multi-state youth safety trial alleging platform addictiveness and data issues with minors, have added regulatory overhang and weighed on sentiment, while new proprietary models such as the Muse Spark series demonstrate ongoing AI progress without immediately translating to valuation gains. With minimal trading days remaining before month-end and no major catalysts on the immediate horizon, trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors stability within the current range rather than a rapid rebound toward $2 trillion or a deeper drop below $1.25 trillion.
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volume
$4,710End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Meta’s current market capitalization sits near $1.40 trillion at a share price around $550, placing the $1.25–$1.50T bracket as the clear leader in the final week of August 2026.** This positioning stems primarily from Meta’s robust advertising business, which delivered 28% year-over-year revenue growth to $60.8 billion in the most recent quarter, supported by AI-driven improvements in recommendations and ad efficiency. However, heavy capital expenditures on AI infrastructure—projected to reach up to $145 billion for the year—have pressured margins and contributed to a significant pullback from July highs near $1.7 trillion. Recent developments, including the start of a multi-state youth safety trial alleging platform addictiveness and data issues with minors, have added regulatory overhang and weighed on sentiment, while new proprietary models such as the Muse Spark series demonstrate ongoing AI progress without immediately translating to valuation gains. With minimal trading days remaining before month-end and no major catalysts on the immediate horizon, trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds favors stability within the current range rather than a rapid rebound toward $2 trillion or a deeper drop below $1.25 trillion.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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