Milwaukee Brewers (81-49) and Los Angeles Dodgers (79-51) pace the NL with strong run differentials and depth, while AL races remain tight behind Tampa Bay (76-53) and the Chicago White Sox (67-62). The August 3 trade deadline reshaped contenders through high-profile additions like Tarik Skubal to the Dodgers and Luis Arraez to the Phillies, shifting implied probabilities for overachievers versus sellers. Recent roster moves, including Yusei Kikuchi’s activation, and ongoing injury management continue to influence remaining schedules. With roughly 50 games left, strength of schedule, bullpen health, and divisional matchups will determine final win totals as traders weigh current form against historical late-season variance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$104,139 Vol.
New York Yankees
86%
Boston Red Sox
70%
Toronto Blue Jays
4%
Baltimore Orioles
9%
Tampa Bay Rays
99%
Detroit Tigers
11%
Kansas City Royals
3%
Minnesota Twins
29%
Cleveland Guardians
91%
Chicago White Sox
99%
Seattle Mariners
3%
Texas Rangers
39%
Houston Astros
68%
Athletics
2%
Los Angeles Angels
22%
Atlanta Braves
83%
New York Mets
1%
Philadelphia Phillies
60%
Miami Marlins
91%
Washington Nationals
94%
Chicago Cubs
92%
Pittsburgh Pirates
12%
Milwaukee Brewers
98%
Cincinnati Reds
23%
St. Louis Cardinals
95%
Los Angeles Dodgers
44%
San Francisco Giants
2%
Arizona Diamondbacks
76%
San Diego Padres
88%
Colorado Rockies
32%
$104,139 Vol.
New York Yankees
86%
Boston Red Sox
70%
Toronto Blue Jays
4%
Baltimore Orioles
9%
Tampa Bay Rays
99%
Detroit Tigers
11%
Kansas City Royals
3%
Minnesota Twins
29%
Cleveland Guardians
91%
Chicago White Sox
99%
Seattle Mariners
3%
Texas Rangers
39%
Houston Astros
68%
Athletics
2%
Los Angeles Angels
22%
Atlanta Braves
83%
New York Mets
1%
Philadelphia Phillies
60%
Miami Marlins
91%
Washington Nationals
94%
Chicago Cubs
92%
Pittsburgh Pirates
12%
Milwaukee Brewers
98%
Cincinnati Reds
23%
St. Louis Cardinals
95%
Los Angeles Dodgers
44%
San Francisco Giants
2%
Arizona Diamondbacks
76%
San Diego Padres
88%
Colorado Rockies
32%
If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the New York Yankees to record more than 86.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 86.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 3, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.mlb.com/standings/Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the New York Yankees to record more than 86.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 86.5".
If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.mlb.com/standings/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Milwaukee Brewers (81-49) and Los Angeles Dodgers (79-51) pace the NL with strong run differentials and depth, while AL races remain tight behind Tampa Bay (76-53) and the Chicago White Sox (67-62). The August 3 trade deadline reshaped contenders through high-profile additions like Tarik Skubal to the Dodgers and Luis Arraez to the Phillies, shifting implied probabilities for overachievers versus sellers. Recent roster moves, including Yusei Kikuchi’s activation, and ongoing injury management continue to influence remaining schedules. With roughly 50 games left, strength of schedule, bullpen health, and divisional matchups will determine final win totals as traders weigh current form against historical late-season variance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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