Soto’s elite plate discipline and established high walk rates underpin the near-certain trader consensus at 97.9% implied probability. Through late August 2026, Soto has already drawn 63 walks in 84 games for the Mets, outpacing Judge’s 42 walks in just 59 games with the Yankees. Soto maintains a lower strikeout rate and superior on-base approach, while Judge’s limited availability—likely tied to earlier injury—constrains his remaining opportunities. With roughly 70–80 games left, Soto’s projected volume and historical edge in patience sustain the wide gap. Plausible shifts remain possible if Judge returns for an extended healthy stretch with elevated walk rates, Soto lands on the injured list again, or extreme late-season playing-time variances alter totals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?
MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?
Judge
2% chance
$30,448 Vol.
$30,448 Vol.
Sep 27, 2026
Judge
2% chance
$30,448 Vol.
$30,448 Vol.
Sep 27, 2026
This market will resolve to “Judge” if Aaron Judge finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks than Juan Soto. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Soto".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Soto’s elite plate discipline and established high walk rates underpin the near-certain trader consensus at 97.9% implied probability. Through late August 2026, Soto has already drawn 63 walks in 84 games for the Mets, outpacing Judge’s 42 walks in just 59 games with the Yankees. Soto maintains a lower strikeout rate and superior on-base approach, while Judge’s limited availability—likely tied to earlier injury—constrains his remaining opportunities. With roughly 70–80 games left, Soto’s projected volume and historical edge in patience sustain the wide gap. Plausible shifts remain possible if Judge returns for an extended healthy stretch with elevated walk rates, Soto lands on the injured list again, or extreme late-season playing-time variances alter totals.
This market will resolve to “Judge” if Aaron Judge finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks than Juan Soto. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Soto".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 22, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
Volume
$30,448End Date
Sep 28, 2026Market Opened
May 22, 2026, 3:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Judge” if Aaron Judge finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks than Juan Soto. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Soto".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Soto’s elite plate discipline and established high walk rates underpin the near-certain trader consensus at 97.9% implied probability. Through late August 2026, Soto has already drawn 63 walks in 84 games for the Mets, outpacing Judge’s 42 walks in just 59 games with the Yankees. Soto maintains a lower strikeout rate and superior on-base approach, while Judge’s limited availability—likely tied to earlier injury—constrains his remaining opportunities. With roughly 70–80 games left, Soto’s projected volume and historical edge in patience sustain the wide gap. Plausible shifts remain possible if Judge returns for an extended healthy stretch with elevated walk rates, Soto lands on the injured list again, or extreme late-season playing-time variances alter totals.
This market will resolve to “Judge” if Aaron Judge finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with more walks than Juan Soto. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Soto".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available MLB statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player had more walks within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$30,448End Date
Sep 28, 2026Market Opened
May 22, 2026, 3:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Soto’s elite plate discipline and established high walk rates underpin the near-certain trader consensus at 97.9% implied probability. Through late August 2026, Soto has already drawn 63 walks in 84 games for the Mets, outpacing Judge’s 42 walks in just 59 games with the Yankees. Soto maintains a lower strikeout rate and superior on-base approach, while Judge’s limited availability—likely tied to earlier injury—constrains his remaining opportunities. With roughly 70–80 games left, Soto’s projected volume and historical edge in patience sustain the wide gap. Plausible shifts remain possible if Judge returns for an extended healthy stretch with elevated walk rates, Soto lands on the injured list again, or extreme late-season playing-time variances alter totals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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