The extreme rarity of perfect games in MLB—only 24 in league history through 2025, with the most recent by Domingo Germán in June 2023—drives the 92.5% implied probability that none occur in 2026. No perfect games or even no-hitters have been thrown through late August amid routine pitching staffs, modern bullpen management, and matchup dynamics that favor contact and baserunners. Historical droughts lasting a decade or longer, combined with the limited remaining schedule and emphasis on pitch counts over complete games, reinforce trader consensus that the season will extend the gap without a perfect game.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?
10% chance
$10,133 Vol.
$10,133 Vol.
10% chance
$10,133 Vol.
$10,133 Vol.
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player throws a Perfect Game in any game during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The extreme rarity of perfect games in MLB—only 24 in league history through 2025, with the most recent by Domingo Germán in June 2023—drives the 92.5% implied probability that none occur in 2026. No perfect games or even no-hitters have been thrown through late August amid routine pitching staffs, modern bullpen management, and matchup dynamics that favor contact and baserunners. Historical droughts lasting a decade or longer, combined with the limited remaining schedule and emphasis on pitch counts over complete games, reinforce trader consensus that the season will extend the gap without a perfect game.
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player throws a Perfect Game in any game during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Volume
$10,133Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve “Yes” if any player throws a Perfect Game in any game during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The extreme rarity of perfect games in MLB—only 24 in league history through 2025, with the most recent by Domingo Germán in June 2023—drives the 92.5% implied probability that none occur in 2026. No perfect games or even no-hitters have been thrown through late August amid routine pitching staffs, modern bullpen management, and matchup dynamics that favor contact and baserunners. Historical droughts lasting a decade or longer, combined with the limited remaining schedule and emphasis on pitch counts over complete games, reinforce trader consensus that the season will extend the gap without a perfect game.
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player throws a Perfect Game in any game during the 2026 MLB season (including postseason). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,133Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The extreme rarity of perfect games in MLB—only 24 in league history through 2025, with the most recent by Domingo Germán in June 2023—drives the 92.5% implied probability that none occur in 2026. No perfect games or even no-hitters have been thrown through late August amid routine pitching staffs, modern bullpen management, and matchup dynamics that favor contact and baserunners. Historical droughts lasting a decade or longer, combined with the limited remaining schedule and emphasis on pitch counts over complete games, reinforce trader consensus that the season will extend the gap without a perfect game.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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