Narendra Modi's position as India's prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, with the 93% trader consensus on "No" reflecting the absence of scheduled general elections until 2029, a stable NDA coalition holding a parliamentary majority, and no verified mechanisms such as a no-confidence vote or constitutional triggers for early exit. Recent youth-led protests over NEET exam irregularities prompted the July 2026 resignation of the education minister but produced no broader coalition fractures or credible challenges to Modi's leadership. Official actions, including Modi's record as longest-serving elected prime minister reached in June 2026 and upcoming public engagements through September, reinforce continuity. Traders price in these structural factors and lack of disruptive developments within the resolution window as the dominant drivers of the implied probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedModi out by December 31, 2026?
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
7% chance
$246,784 Vol.
$246,784 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
7% chance
$246,784 Vol.
$246,784 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi's position as India's prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, with the 93% trader consensus on "No" reflecting the absence of scheduled general elections until 2029, a stable NDA coalition holding a parliamentary majority, and no verified mechanisms such as a no-confidence vote or constitutional triggers for early exit. Recent youth-led protests over NEET exam irregularities prompted the July 2026 resignation of the education minister but produced no broader coalition fractures or credible challenges to Modi's leadership. Official actions, including Modi's record as longest-serving elected prime minister reached in June 2026 and upcoming public engagements through September, reinforce continuity. Traders price in these structural factors and lack of disruptive developments within the resolution window as the dominant drivers of the implied probability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$246,784End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi's position as India's prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, with the 93% trader consensus on "No" reflecting the absence of scheduled general elections until 2029, a stable NDA coalition holding a parliamentary majority, and no verified mechanisms such as a no-confidence vote or constitutional triggers for early exit. Recent youth-led protests over NEET exam irregularities prompted the July 2026 resignation of the education minister but produced no broader coalition fractures or credible challenges to Modi's leadership. Official actions, including Modi's record as longest-serving elected prime minister reached in June 2026 and upcoming public engagements through September, reinforce continuity. Traders price in these structural factors and lack of disruptive developments within the resolution window as the dominant drivers of the implied probability.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$246,784End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi's position as India's prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, with the 93% trader consensus on "No" reflecting the absence of scheduled general elections until 2029, a stable NDA coalition holding a parliamentary majority, and no verified mechanisms such as a no-confidence vote or constitutional triggers for early exit. Recent youth-led protests over NEET exam irregularities prompted the July 2026 resignation of the education minister but produced no broader coalition fractures or credible challenges to Modi's leadership. Official actions, including Modi's record as longest-serving elected prime minister reached in June 2026 and upcoming public engagements through September, reinforce continuity. Traders price in these structural factors and lack of disruptive developments within the resolution window as the dominant drivers of the implied probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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