Narendra Modi remains India's prime minister in August 2026, actively leading the NDA coalition government formed after the 2024 Lok Sabha elections and delivering the Independence Day address outlining economic reforms. The 18th Lok Sabha term runs until mid-2029, with the next general election scheduled no earlier than 2029, leaving no constitutional or electoral mechanism for removal by the market's December 31, 2026 deadline. Recent developments, including Modi's public addresses at economic forums and continued policy continuity, reinforce the absence of imminent threats such as a successful no-confidence motion or coalition collapse. Speculation around succession or retirement has surfaced in isolated opposition commentary but lacks supporting evidence from official actions or parliamentary proceedings. Traders price the "No" outcome at 93% because the fixed parliamentary term and lack of triggering events create structural barriers to an exit within the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedModi out by December 31, 2026?
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
7% chance
$246,784 Vol.
$246,784 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
7% chance
$246,784 Vol.
$246,784 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi remains India's prime minister in August 2026, actively leading the NDA coalition government formed after the 2024 Lok Sabha elections and delivering the Independence Day address outlining economic reforms. The 18th Lok Sabha term runs until mid-2029, with the next general election scheduled no earlier than 2029, leaving no constitutional or electoral mechanism for removal by the market's December 31, 2026 deadline. Recent developments, including Modi's public addresses at economic forums and continued policy continuity, reinforce the absence of imminent threats such as a successful no-confidence motion or coalition collapse. Speculation around succession or retirement has surfaced in isolated opposition commentary but lacks supporting evidence from official actions or parliamentary proceedings. Traders price the "No" outcome at 93% because the fixed parliamentary term and lack of triggering events create structural barriers to an exit within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$246,784End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi remains India's prime minister in August 2026, actively leading the NDA coalition government formed after the 2024 Lok Sabha elections and delivering the Independence Day address outlining economic reforms. The 18th Lok Sabha term runs until mid-2029, with the next general election scheduled no earlier than 2029, leaving no constitutional or electoral mechanism for removal by the market's December 31, 2026 deadline. Recent developments, including Modi's public addresses at economic forums and continued policy continuity, reinforce the absence of imminent threats such as a successful no-confidence motion or coalition collapse. Speculation around succession or retirement has surfaced in isolated opposition commentary but lacks supporting evidence from official actions or parliamentary proceedings. Traders price the "No" outcome at 93% because the fixed parliamentary term and lack of triggering events create structural barriers to an exit within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$246,784End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi remains India's prime minister in August 2026, actively leading the NDA coalition government formed after the 2024 Lok Sabha elections and delivering the Independence Day address outlining economic reforms. The 18th Lok Sabha term runs until mid-2029, with the next general election scheduled no earlier than 2029, leaving no constitutional or electoral mechanism for removal by the market's December 31, 2026 deadline. Recent developments, including Modi's public addresses at economic forums and continued policy continuity, reinforce the absence of imminent threats such as a successful no-confidence motion or coalition collapse. Speculation around succession or retirement has surfaced in isolated opposition commentary but lacks supporting evidence from official actions or parliamentary proceedings. Traders price the "No" outcome at 93% because the fixed parliamentary term and lack of triggering events create structural barriers to an exit within the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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