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icon for Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

icon for Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Justin Herbert 12%

Josh Allen 12%

Lamar Jackson 11%

Drake Maye 10%

Polymarket

$473,974 Vol.

Justin Herbert 12%

Josh Allen 12%

Lamar Jackson 11%

Drake Maye 10%

Polymarket

$473,974 Vol.

Justin Herbert

$45,331 Vol.

12%

Josh Allen

$11,456 Vol.

12%

Lamar Jackson

$24,370 Vol.

11%

Drake Maye

$10,946 Vol.

10%

Caleb Williams

$13,462 Vol.

9%

Joe Burrow

$12,875 Vol.

9%

Dak Prescott

$14,496 Vol.

8%

Patrick Mahomes

$3,605 Vol.

7%

Brock Purdy

$7,512 Vol.

6%

Matthew Stafford

$5,538 Vol.

5%

Jordan Love

$5,802 Vol.

4%

Jalen Hurts

$10,052 Vol.

4%

Bo Nix

$6,787 Vol.

2%

Trevor Lawrence

$4,203 Vol.

2%

Sam Darnold

$8,296 Vol.

1%

Jahmyr Gibbs

$6,430 Vol.

1%

Jared Goff

$4,675 Vol.

1%

Jaxson Dart

$10,712 Vol.

1%

Baker Mayfield

$103,335 Vol.

1%

Saquon Barkley

$121,722 Vol.

1%

Christian McCaffrey

$7,224 Vol.

<1%

Puka Nacua

$2,824 Vol.

<1%

Justin Jefferson

$8,428 Vol.

<1%

Jaxson Smith-Njigba

$5,540 Vol.

<1%

Bijan Robinson

$3,569 Vol.

<1%

Player J

$1,035 Vol.

<1%

Derrick Henry

$4,583 Vol.

<1%

De'Von Achane

$5,059 Vol.

<1%

Myles Garrett

$4,107 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 NFL MVP market sits wide open early in the cycle, with no quarterback commanding more than an 11.5% implied probability as traders weigh roster upgrades, scheme fit, and recent statistical trends across contenders. Josh Allen and Justin Herbert top the board on the strength of elite arm talent and consistent big-play production, while Lamar Jackson’s dual-threat rushing adds a unique dimension for the Ravens. Younger options like Drake Maye and Caleb Williams gain traction from rising efficiency and offensive line improvements, and Joe Burrow’s precision passing keeps Cincinnati in the mix. Dak Prescott and Patrick Mahomes remain relevant through proven leadership and postseason pedigree, though depth behind them highlights how team success, health, and volume stats could quickly shift consensus once the regular season begins.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$473,974
End Date
Feb 15, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 NFL MVP market sits wide open early in the cycle, with no quarterback commanding more than an 11.5% implied probability as traders weigh roster upgrades, scheme fit, and recent statistical trends across contenders. Josh Allen and Justin Herbert top the board on the strength of elite arm talent and consistent big-play production, while Lamar Jackson’s dual-threat rushing adds a unique dimension for the Ravens. Younger options like Drake Maye and Caleb Williams gain traction from rising efficiency and offensive line improvements, and Joe Burrow’s precision passing keeps Cincinnati in the mix. Dak Prescott and Patrick Mahomes remain relevant through proven leadership and postseason pedigree, though depth behind them highlights how team success, health, and volume stats could quickly shift consensus once the regular season begins.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$473,974
End Date
Feb 15, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

NFL 2026
Odds & Predictions

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 29 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Justin Herbert" at 12%, followed by "Josh Allen" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 12¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" has generated $474K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner," browse the 29 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" is "Justin Herbert" at 12%, meaning the market assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Josh Allen" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.