Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Dec 31

Elon Musk 97.0%

Warren Buffett 1.1%

Jeff Bezos <1%

Larry Ellison <1%

$1,925,921 Vol.

Dec 30, 2026

Elon Musk

$194,404 Vol.

97%

Warren Buffett

$92,546 Vol.

Jeff Bezos

$345,009 Vol.

<1%

Larry Ellison

$61,422 Vol.

<1%

Bernard Arnault

$368,841 Vol.

<1%

Jensen Huang

$180,666 Vol.

<1%

Steve Ballmer

$311,696 Vol.

<1%

Sergey Brin

$88,916 Vol.

<1%

Mark Zuckerberg

$133,832 Vol.

<1%

Larry Page

$148,591 Vol.

<1%

Elon Musk 97.0%

Warren Buffett 1.1%

Jeff Bezos <1%

Larry Ellison <1%

$1,925,921 Vol.

Dec 30, 2026

Elon Musk

$194,404 Vol.

97%

Warren Buffett

$92,546 Vol.

Jeff Bezos

$345,009 Vol.

<1%

Larry Ellison

$61,422 Vol.

<1%

Bernard Arnault

$368,841 Vol.

<1%

Jensen Huang

$180,666 Vol.

<1%

Steve Ballmer

$311,696 Vol.

<1%

Sergey Brin

$88,916 Vol.

<1%

Mark Zuckerberg

$133,832 Vol.

<1%

Larry Page

$148,591 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?

65%

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

73%

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

42%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Richest person on December 31, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Elon Musk" at 97%, followed by "Warren Buffett" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Richest person on December 31, 2026?" has generated $1.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Richest person on December 31, 2026?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Richest person on December 31, 2026?" is "Elon Musk" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Warren Buffett" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Richest person on December 31, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Richest person on December 31, 2026?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $1.9 million traded on “Richest person on December 31, 2026?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Richest person on December 31, 2026?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 97¢ for "Elon Musk" in the "Richest person on December 31, 2026?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 97% chance that "Elon Musk" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 97¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 3¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Richest person on December 31, 2026?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Dec 30, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Richest person on December 31, 2026?" market has an active community of 28 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Richest person on December 31, 2026?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Rules

Market Context

Rules

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Comments (28)

Top Holders

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Frequently Asked Questions

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