SpaceX (SPCX) shares closed near $151 on September 11 amid ongoing volatility following its June IPO at $135. The even 50% odds on the $150–155 versus $165–170 ranges for the week of September 14 reflect balanced trader views on near-term momentum. Key swing factors include the anticipated Starship Flight 14 launch around September 15, which the CFO highlighted as the first revenue-generating mission deploying production Starlink V3 satellites, alongside recent Falcon 9 national-security and Starlink successes that support execution momentum. Offsetting pressures stem from elevated valuation multiples near 65x annualized revenue, heavy capital expenditures, and post-IPO share lockup flows that have contributed to sharp daily swings between roughly $145 and $155.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<$130 99%
$130-$135 99%
$145-$150 99%
$150-$155 99%
<$130
99%
$130-$135
99%
$135-$140
50%
$140-$145
50%
$145-$150
99%
$150-$155
99%
$155-$160
50%
$160-$165
50%
$165-$170
99%
$170-$175
99%
>$175
50%
<$130 99%
$130-$135 99%
$145-$150 99%
$150-$155 99%
<$130
99%
$130-$135
99%
$135-$140
50%
$140-$145
50%
$145-$150
99%
$150-$155
99%
$155-$160
50%
$160-$165
50%
$165-$170
99%
$170-$175
99%
>$175
50%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX (SPCX) shares closed near $151 on September 11 amid ongoing volatility following its June IPO at $135. The even 50% odds on the $150–155 versus $165–170 ranges for the week of September 14 reflect balanced trader views on near-term momentum. Key swing factors include the anticipated Starship Flight 14 launch around September 15, which the CFO highlighted as the first revenue-generating mission deploying production Starlink V3 satellites, alongside recent Falcon 9 national-security and Starlink successes that support execution momentum. Offsetting pressures stem from elevated valuation multiples near 65x annualized revenue, heavy capital expenditures, and post-IPO share lockup flows that have contributed to sharp daily swings between roughly $145 and $155.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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