**Recent polling shows the Texas U.S. Senate race between Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton locked in a statistical dead heat or narrow Talarico edge statewide, with both candidates at or near 50% in late August and early September surveys.** This closeness stems from Paxton's contentious primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn, which consolidated Republican support but left the general election more competitive than expected in a state long dominated by the GOP. Collin County, a historically Republican suburban stronghold and Paxton's political base, has emerged as a key battleground where shifting independent and moderate voters, along with Talarico's strong fundraising and outreach on affordability and corruption issues, have narrowed traditional margins. Talarico's large campaign events in the area and Democratic gains among suburban and Latino voters in recent cycles have supported his implied edge in county-level outcomes. Minor candidates and "other" options remain long shots absent major late shifts. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for further movement from turnout, advertising, or national factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
James Talarico (D)
60%
Ken Paxton (R)
39%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
James Talarico (D)
$1,198 Vol.
60%
Ken Paxton (R)
$989 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Collin County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Collin County.**Recent polling shows the Texas U.S. Senate race between Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton locked in a statistical dead heat or narrow Talarico edge statewide, with both candidates at or near 50% in late August and early September surveys.** This closeness stems from Paxton's contentious primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn, which consolidated Republican support but left the general election more competitive than expected in a state long dominated by the GOP. Collin County, a historically Republican suburban stronghold and Paxton's political base, has emerged as a key battleground where shifting independent and moderate voters, along with Talarico's strong fundraising and outreach on affordability and corruption issues, have narrowed traditional margins. Talarico's large campaign events in the area and Democratic gains among suburban and Latino voters in recent cycles have supported his implied edge in county-level outcomes. Minor candidates and "other" options remain long shots absent major late shifts. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for further movement from turnout, advertising, or national factors.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Collin County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Collin County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Collin County.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
Volume
$2,187End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 1:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Collin County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Collin County.**Recent polling shows the Texas U.S. Senate race between Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton locked in a statistical dead heat or narrow Talarico edge statewide, with both candidates at or near 50% in late August and early September surveys.** This closeness stems from Paxton's contentious primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn, which consolidated Republican support but left the general election more competitive than expected in a state long dominated by the GOP. Collin County, a historically Republican suburban stronghold and Paxton's political base, has emerged as a key battleground where shifting independent and moderate voters, along with Talarico's strong fundraising and outreach on affordability and corruption issues, have narrowed traditional margins. Talarico's large campaign events in the area and Democratic gains among suburban and Latino voters in recent cycles have supported his implied edge in county-level outcomes. Minor candidates and "other" options remain long shots absent major late shifts. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for further movement from turnout, advertising, or national factors.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Collin County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Collin County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Collin County.
Volume
$2,187End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 1:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent polling shows the Texas U.S. Senate race between Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton locked in a statistical dead heat or narrow Talarico edge statewide, with both candidates at or near 50% in late August and early September surveys.** This closeness stems from Paxton's contentious primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn, which consolidated Republican support but left the general election more competitive than expected in a state long dominated by the GOP. Collin County, a historically Republican suburban stronghold and Paxton's political base, has emerged as a key battleground where shifting independent and moderate voters, along with Talarico's strong fundraising and outreach on affordability and corruption issues, have narrowed traditional margins. Talarico's large campaign events in the area and Democratic gains among suburban and Latino voters in recent cycles have supported his implied edge in county-level outcomes. Minor candidates and "other" options remain long shots absent major late shifts. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for further movement from turnout, advertising, or national factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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