Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey” opened to a robust $123.5 million domestically in mid-July and has maintained exceptional holds, reaching $539 million by its sixth weekend thanks to record IMAX and premium large-format performance, strong word-of-mouth, and a 4.4x multiplier. The first feature shot entirely in IMAX has powered consistent midweek earnings and outpaced historical Nolan benchmarks, pushing the total well beyond $350 million with roughly a week remaining before the August 31 cutoff. Traders assign 98.6% implied probability to the 350m+ outcome because the film’s current trajectory and late-summer legs make a finish below that threshold highly unlikely. An upset would require an unprecedented collapse in attendance or major theater pullbacks not supported by current data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"The Odyssey" total domestic gross by August 31?
350m+ 98.4%
300 - 350m 1.0%
250 - 300m <1%
<200m <1%
$55,530 Vol.
$55,530 Vol.
<200m
<1%
200 - 250m
<1%
250 - 300m
<1%
300 - 350m
1%
350m+
98%
350m+ 98.4%
300 - 350m 1.0%
250 - 300m <1%
<200m <1%
$55,530 Vol.
$55,530 Vol.
<200m
<1%
200 - 250m
<1%
250 - 300m
<1%
300 - 350m
1%
350m+
98%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Jul 16, 2026, 10:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey” opened to a robust $123.5 million domestically in mid-July and has maintained exceptional holds, reaching $539 million by its sixth weekend thanks to record IMAX and premium large-format performance, strong word-of-mouth, and a 4.4x multiplier. The first feature shot entirely in IMAX has powered consistent midweek earnings and outpaced historical Nolan benchmarks, pushing the total well beyond $350 million with roughly a week remaining before the August 31 cutoff. Traders assign 98.6% implied probability to the 350m+ outcome because the film’s current trajectory and late-summer legs make a finish below that threshold highly unlikely. An upset would require an unprecedented collapse in attendance or major theater pullbacks not supported by current data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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