Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $355–360 million domestic opening weekend and subsequent $145 million second frame have propelled it past $800 million domestically by mid-August, establishing 800–900 million as the market favorite. Strong audience retention, minimal week-to-week declines, and continued August play have kept momentum high, with the film already ranking among the highest-grossing releases ever after just three weeks. Traders see a realistic path to 900 million-plus if legs hold through Labor Day weekend, while lower brackets reflect the film’s unprecedented early pace and lack of meaningful competition. The one-week horizon to August 31 leaves room for final weekend updates to clarify whether totals settle in the upper 800s or push higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
800 - 900m 67%
900m+ 33.1%
<400m <1%
400 - 500m <1%
$1,697,546 Vol.
$1,697,546 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<400m
<1%
400 - 500m
<1%
500 - 600m
<1%
600 - 700m
<1%
700 - 800m
<1%
800 - 900m
67%
900m+
33%
800 - 900m 67%
900m+ 33.1%
<400m <1%
400 - 500m <1%
$1,697,546 Vol.
$1,697,546 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<400m
$47,237 Vol.
<1%
400 - 500m
$32,992 Vol.
<1%
500 - 600m
$28,811 Vol.
<1%
600 - 700m
$43,581 Vol.
<1%
700 - 800m
$127,047 Vol.
<1%
800 - 900m
$418,929 Vol.
67%
900m+
$998,949 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $355–360 million domestic opening weekend and subsequent $145 million second frame have propelled it past $800 million domestically by mid-August, establishing 800–900 million as the market favorite. Strong audience retention, minimal week-to-week declines, and continued August play have kept momentum high, with the film already ranking among the highest-grossing releases ever after just three weeks. Traders see a realistic path to 900 million-plus if legs hold through Labor Day weekend, while lower brackets reflect the film’s unprecedented early pace and lack of meaningful competition. The one-week horizon to August 31 leaves room for final weekend updates to clarify whether totals settle in the upper 800s or push higher.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volume
$1,697,546End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $355–360 million domestic opening weekend and subsequent $145 million second frame have propelled it past $800 million domestically by mid-August, establishing 800–900 million as the market favorite. Strong audience retention, minimal week-to-week declines, and continued August play have kept momentum high, with the film already ranking among the highest-grossing releases ever after just three weeks. Traders see a realistic path to 900 million-plus if legs hold through Labor Day weekend, while lower brackets reflect the film’s unprecedented early pace and lack of meaningful competition. The one-week horizon to August 31 leaves room for final weekend updates to clarify whether totals settle in the upper 800s or push higher.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$1,697,546End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $355–360 million domestic opening weekend and subsequent $145 million second frame have propelled it past $800 million domestically by mid-August, establishing 800–900 million as the market favorite. Strong audience retention, minimal week-to-week declines, and continued August play have kept momentum high, with the film already ranking among the highest-grossing releases ever after just three weeks. Traders see a realistic path to 900 million-plus if legs hold through Labor Day weekend, while lower brackets reflect the film’s unprecedented early pace and lack of meaningful competition. The one-week horizon to August 31 leaves room for final weekend updates to clarify whether totals settle in the upper 800s or push higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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