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What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Aug 25

Aug 25

Don't Say Good Luck 96.4%

The Last House 3.8%

Extinction <1%

Arthur the King <1%

Polymarket

$37,147 Vol.

Don't Say Good Luck 96.4%

The Last House 3.8%

Extinction <1%

Arthur the King <1%

Polymarket

$37,147 Vol.

icon for Don't Say Good Luck

Don't Say Good Luck

$28,287 Vol.

96%

icon for The Last House

The Last House

$7,148 Vol.

4%

icon for Extinction

Extinction

$515 Vol.

<1%

icon for Arthur the King

Arthur the King

$349 Vol.

<1%

icon for Freefall: A Reckoning for Boeing

Freefall: A Reckoning for Boeing

$411 Vol.

<1%

icon for To Catch a Cheater

To Catch a Cheater

$437 Vol.

<1%

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Don't Say Good Luck's 95.9% market-implied odds reflect its commanding position as the top global Netflix title this week, driven by its August 14 release and strong early streaming performance. The Adam Sandler-produced musical teen dramedy, starring daughter Sunny Sandler, has earned positive critic scores around 93% on Rotten Tomatoes and generated emotional word-of-mouth that typically fuels sustained viewer engagement for family-oriented originals. Trader consensus aligns with historical patterns where fresh, well-reviewed Netflix originals dominate charts in their first or second full weeks. An upset remains possible if a major new premiere or unexpected viral surge from an existing title like The Last House overtakes it before weekly metrics lock, though such shifts are uncommon without comparable promotional momentum.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$37,147
End Date
Aug 25, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 9:20 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Don't Say Good Luck's 95.9% market-implied odds reflect its commanding position as the top global Netflix title this week, driven by its August 14 release and strong early streaming performance. The Adam Sandler-produced musical teen dramedy, starring daughter Sunny Sandler, has earned positive critic scores around 93% on Rotten Tomatoes and generated emotional word-of-mouth that typically fuels sustained viewer engagement for family-oriented originals. Trader consensus aligns with historical patterns where fresh, well-reviewed Netflix originals dominate charts in their first or second full weeks. An upset remains possible if a major new premiere or unexpected viral surge from an existing title like The Last House overtakes it before weekly metrics lock, though such shifts are uncommon without comparable promotional momentum.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$37,147
End Date
Aug 25, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 9:20 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Don't Say Good Luck" at 96%, followed by "The Last House" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?" has generated $37.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?" is "Don't Say Good Luck" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "The Last House" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top global Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.