Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s dominant 4th-weekend positioning stems from its record-setting trajectory, including a $360 million opening and resilient holds of roughly 40-50% in prior frames that have kept it atop the domestic chart for four straight weekends. Strong critical reception, Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power, and enthusiastic word-of-mouth have sustained audience interest far better than typical superhero sequels, outpacing new competition like Insidious: Out of the Further. With current tracking centering on approximately $39 million, traders see little room for meaningful deviation unless late-weekend walk-ups or theater counts shift dramatically. The next chart update will lock in final figures for this frame.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office
38-41m 93.5%
35-38m 5.6%
41-44m <1%
<35m <1%
$129,142 Vol.
$129,142 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
<35m
<1%
35-38m
6%
38-41m
93%
41-44m
<1%
44m+
<1%
38-41m 93.5%
35-38m 5.6%
41-44m <1%
<35m <1%
$129,142 Vol.
$129,142 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
<35m
$28,485 Vol.
<1%
35-38m
$28,176 Vol.
6%
38-41m
$43,990 Vol.
93%
41-44m
$21,413 Vol.
<1%
44m+
$7,099 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s dominant 4th-weekend positioning stems from its record-setting trajectory, including a $360 million opening and resilient holds of roughly 40-50% in prior frames that have kept it atop the domestic chart for four straight weekends. Strong critical reception, Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power, and enthusiastic word-of-mouth have sustained audience interest far better than typical superhero sequels, outpacing new competition like Insidious: Out of the Further. With current tracking centering on approximately $39 million, traders see little room for meaningful deviation unless late-weekend walk-ups or theater counts shift dramatically. The next chart update will lock in final figures for this frame.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 3:56 PM ET
Volume
$129,142End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 3:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s dominant 4th-weekend positioning stems from its record-setting trajectory, including a $360 million opening and resilient holds of roughly 40-50% in prior frames that have kept it atop the domestic chart for four straight weekends. Strong critical reception, Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power, and enthusiastic word-of-mouth have sustained audience interest far better than typical superhero sequels, outpacing new competition like Insidious: Out of the Further. With current tracking centering on approximately $39 million, traders see little room for meaningful deviation unless late-weekend walk-ups or theater counts shift dramatically. The next chart update will lock in final figures for this frame.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its fourth weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$129,142End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 3:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s dominant 4th-weekend positioning stems from its record-setting trajectory, including a $360 million opening and resilient holds of roughly 40-50% in prior frames that have kept it atop the domestic chart for four straight weekends. Strong critical reception, Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power, and enthusiastic word-of-mouth have sustained audience interest far better than typical superhero sequels, outpacing new competition like Insidious: Out of the Further. With current tracking centering on approximately $39 million, traders see little room for meaningful deviation unless late-weekend walk-ups or theater counts shift dramatically. The next chart update will lock in final figures for this frame.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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