Jason Statham’s R-rated action thriller *Mutiny* faces stiff competition from higher-profile August 21 releases like *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* and *Insidious: Out of the Further*, limiting its visibility in roughly 2,700 theaters. Pre-release tracking and early first-day results—around $2.8–3 million including previews—have reinforced expectations of a soft single-digit opening for the $40 million Lionsgate title, consistent with Statham’s recent mid-budget entries such as *Shelter*. Mixed critical reception, reflected in a 48% Rotten Tomatoes score, has further tempered trader confidence. An upset above $8 million would require stronger-than-anticipated word-of-mouth or audience turnout that overcomes the crowded marketplace and genre fatigue.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated“Mutiny” Opening Weekend Box Office
“Mutiny” Opening Weekend Box Office
<8m 98.0%
8-9m 1.7%
9-10m <1%
10-11m <1%
$17,922 Vol.
$17,922 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
<8m
98%
8-9m
2%
9-10m
<1%
10-11m
<1%
11m+
<1%
<8m 98.0%
8-9m 1.7%
9-10m <1%
10-11m <1%
$17,922 Vol.
$17,922 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
<8m
$9,241 Vol.
98%
8-9m
$4,064 Vol.
2%
9-10m
$1,889 Vol.
<1%
10-11m
$1,497 Vol.
<1%
11m+
$1,232 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Mutiny" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Jason Statham’s R-rated action thriller *Mutiny* faces stiff competition from higher-profile August 21 releases like *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* and *Insidious: Out of the Further*, limiting its visibility in roughly 2,700 theaters. Pre-release tracking and early first-day results—around $2.8–3 million including previews—have reinforced expectations of a soft single-digit opening for the $40 million Lionsgate title, consistent with Statham’s recent mid-budget entries such as *Shelter*. Mixed critical reception, reflected in a 48% Rotten Tomatoes score, has further tempered trader confidence. An upset above $8 million would require stronger-than-anticipated word-of-mouth or audience turnout that overcomes the crowded marketplace and genre fatigue.
This market will resolve according to how much "Mutiny" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$17,922End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Mutiny" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Jason Statham’s R-rated action thriller *Mutiny* faces stiff competition from higher-profile August 21 releases like *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* and *Insidious: Out of the Further*, limiting its visibility in roughly 2,700 theaters. Pre-release tracking and early first-day results—around $2.8–3 million including previews—have reinforced expectations of a soft single-digit opening for the $40 million Lionsgate title, consistent with Statham’s recent mid-budget entries such as *Shelter*. Mixed critical reception, reflected in a 48% Rotten Tomatoes score, has further tempered trader confidence. An upset above $8 million would require stronger-than-anticipated word-of-mouth or audience turnout that overcomes the crowded marketplace and genre fatigue.
This market will resolve according to how much "Mutiny" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (August 21 - 23) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$17,922End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jason Statham’s R-rated action thriller *Mutiny* faces stiff competition from higher-profile August 21 releases like *Spider-Man: Brand New Day* and *Insidious: Out of the Further*, limiting its visibility in roughly 2,700 theaters. Pre-release tracking and early first-day results—around $2.8–3 million including previews—have reinforced expectations of a soft single-digit opening for the $40 million Lionsgate title, consistent with Statham’s recent mid-budget entries such as *Shelter*. Mixed critical reception, reflected in a 48% Rotten Tomatoes score, has further tempered trader confidence. An upset above $8 million would require stronger-than-anticipated word-of-mouth or audience turnout that overcomes the crowded marketplace and genre fatigue.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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