The film's modest $21 million domestic opening weekend—third place amid heavy competition from holdovers like *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*—sets up a projected second-weekend total centered on 9-10 million. Positive critical reception (86% on Rotten Tomatoes) and a B CinemaScore provide some audience retention tailwinds, yet a steep 60%+ drop is widely expected given the August marketplace and limited IMAX access. Trader consensus on the 9-10 million band reflects typical sophomore-week patterns for mid-budget genre titles after soft debuts, with limited upside from word-of-mouth unlikely to push past 10 million before the next major release slate arrives.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"The End of Oak Street" 2nd Weekend Box Office
9-10m 76.8%
<9m 27%
10-11m 1.4%
11-12m <1%
$7,359 Vol.
$7,359 Vol.
<9m
27%
9-10m
77%
10-11m
1%
11-12m
<1%
12m+
<1%
9-10m 76.8%
<9m 27%
10-11m 1.4%
11-12m <1%
$7,359 Vol.
$7,359 Vol.
<9m
27%
9-10m
77%
10-11m
1%
11-12m
<1%
12m+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The film's modest $21 million domestic opening weekend—third place amid heavy competition from holdovers like *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*—sets up a projected second-weekend total centered on 9-10 million. Positive critical reception (86% on Rotten Tomatoes) and a B CinemaScore provide some audience retention tailwinds, yet a steep 60%+ drop is widely expected given the August marketplace and limited IMAX access. Trader consensus on the 9-10 million band reflects typical sophomore-week patterns for mid-budget genre titles after soft debuts, with limited upside from word-of-mouth unlikely to push past 10 million before the next major release slate arrives.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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