The Last House’s commanding 97.8% implied probability for the #2 global Netflix spot stems from its powerful August 7 debut as a Louis Leterrier-directed sci-fi thriller starring Greta Lee and Wagner Moura. The film delivered 27.5 million views in its first three days and held the overall #1 position into the following week with 33.5 million views through August 16, buoyed by strong marketing including a viral billboard stunt and solid critical attention for its claustrophobic survival premise. Newer releases such as Facing El Chapo and To Catch a Cheater have climbed the charts more recently, yet The Last House’s sustained audience engagement keeps it positioned just behind the leader. An upset would require an unexpected surge from a competing title or a sharper-than-expected drop in its weekly hours viewed before the period ends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhat will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
The Last House 97.0%
Don't Say Good Luck 2.2%
Extinction <1%
Arthur the King <1%
$18,985 Vol.
$18,985 Vol.
The Last House
97%
Don't Say Good Luck
2%
Extinction
<1%
Arthur the King
<1%
Freefall: A Reckoning for Boeing
<1%
To Catch a Cheater
<1%
The Last House 97.0%
Don't Say Good Luck 2.2%
Extinction <1%
Arthur the King <1%
$18,985 Vol.
$18,985 Vol.
The Last House
97%
Don't Say Good Luck
2%
Extinction
<1%
Arthur the King
<1%
Freefall: A Reckoning for Boeing
<1%
To Catch a Cheater
<1%
This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 9:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Last House’s commanding 97.8% implied probability for the #2 global Netflix spot stems from its powerful August 7 debut as a Louis Leterrier-directed sci-fi thriller starring Greta Lee and Wagner Moura. The film delivered 27.5 million views in its first three days and held the overall #1 position into the following week with 33.5 million views through August 16, buoyed by strong marketing including a viral billboard stunt and solid critical attention for its claustrophobic survival premise. Newer releases such as Facing El Chapo and To Catch a Cheater have climbed the charts more recently, yet The Last House’s sustained audience engagement keeps it positioned just behind the leader. An upset would require an unexpected surge from a competing title or a sharper-than-expected drop in its weekly hours viewed before the period ends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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