The near-even split between Avengers: Doomsday at 50.5% and Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 49.5% reflects intense trader focus on two MCU tentpoles with proven franchise drawing power. Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record $927 million global opening in late July set an exceptionally high bar for 2026, while Avengers: Doomsday's December 18 holiday release, Robert Downey Jr.'s return as Doctor Doom, and strong early trailer momentum position it to challenge or exceed that mark. Release timing, presales trajectory, and holiday competition will serve as the main swing factors ahead of final tracking.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 51%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 50%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$78,320 Vol.
$78,320 Vol.
Avengers: Doomsday
51%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
50%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Toy Story 5
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 51%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 50%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$78,320 Vol.
$78,320 Vol.
Avengers: Doomsday
51%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
50%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Toy Story 5
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The near-even split between Avengers: Doomsday at 50.5% and Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 49.5% reflects intense trader focus on two MCU tentpoles with proven franchise drawing power. Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record $927 million global opening in late July set an exceptionally high bar for 2026, while Avengers: Doomsday's December 18 holiday release, Robert Downey Jr.'s return as Doctor Doom, and strong early trailer momentum position it to challenge or exceed that mark. Release timing, presales trajectory, and holiday competition will serve as the main swing factors ahead of final tracking.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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