Magnus Carlsen and Hikaru Nakamura top trader consensus for the September 1 Titled Tuesday at 18% and 17.5% implied probability due to their unmatched historical records in the weekly Chess.com blitz event, including dozens of prior victories and consistent top finishes against deep fields of 400-plus titled players. Recent results underscore the event’s variance, with Jan-Krzysztof Duda claiming his fourth 2026 win on August 25 ahead of Arjun Erigaisi, Tuan Minh Le prevailing the prior week, and Artin Ashraf taking the August 11 edition. Alireza Firouzja, Denis Lazavik, and others have also notched recent triumphs, while strong ratings and occasional participation from players like Fabiano Caruana and Nodirbek Abdusattorov keep the field competitive. The bunched probabilities reflect blitz volatility, large Swiss pairings, and the absence of any participant who reliably sweeps the field week after week.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMagnus Carlsen 36%
Hikaru Nakamura 35%
Vladislav Artemiev 14%
Alireza Firouzja 14%
Magnus Carlsen
36%
Hikaru Nakamura
35%
Vladislav Artemiev
14%
Alireza Firouzja
14%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
14%
Arjun Erigaisi
14%
Denis Lazavik
13%
Benjamin Bok
9%
Bardiya Daneshvar
9%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
9%
Dincer Tasdogen
9%
Fabiano Caruana
9%
Frederik Svane
9%
Haik Martirosyan
9%
Hans Niemann
9%
Haowen Xue
9%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
9%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
9%
Jose Martinez
9%
Jules Moussard
9%
Javokhir Sindarov
9%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
9%
Volen Dyulgerov
9%
Christopher Yoo
9%
Awonder Liang
9%
Andrew Tang
9%
Aravindh Chithambaram
9%
Aleksei Sarana
9%
Nikolas Theodorou
9%
Parham Maghsoodloo
9%
Pranesh Munirethinam
9%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
9%
Pranav Venkatesh
9%
Rudik Makarian
9%
Sam Sevian
9%
Sergey Sklokin
9%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
9%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
9%
Gukesh Dommaraju
9%
Wei Yi
9%
Vladimir Fedoseev
9%
Brandon Jacobson
9%
Sina Movahed
9%
Andrey Esipenko
9%
Alexander Grischuk
9%
Aleksandar Indjic
9%
Aleksandr Shimanov
9%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
9%
Dmitry Andreikin
9%
Jeffery Xiong
9%
Levon Aronian
9%
Le Tuan Minh
9%
Matthias Bluebaum
9%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
9%
Nihal Sarin
9%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
9%
Renato Terry Lujan
9%
Rasmus Svane
9%
Vincent Keymer
9%
Wesley So
9%
Ding Liren
9%
Faustino Oro
8%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
8%
Tuomas Turunen
8%
David Anton
8%
Dau Khuong Duy
8%
Magnus Carlsen 36%
Hikaru Nakamura 35%
Vladislav Artemiev 14%
Alireza Firouzja 14%
Magnus Carlsen
36%
Hikaru Nakamura
35%
Vladislav Artemiev
14%
Alireza Firouzja
14%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
14%
Arjun Erigaisi
14%
Denis Lazavik
13%
Benjamin Bok
9%
Bardiya Daneshvar
9%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
9%
Dincer Tasdogen
9%
Fabiano Caruana
9%
Frederik Svane
9%
Haik Martirosyan
9%
Hans Niemann
9%
Haowen Xue
9%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
9%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
9%
Jose Martinez
9%
Jules Moussard
9%
Javokhir Sindarov
9%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
9%
Volen Dyulgerov
9%
Christopher Yoo
9%
Awonder Liang
9%
Andrew Tang
9%
Aravindh Chithambaram
9%
Aleksei Sarana
9%
Nikolas Theodorou
9%
Parham Maghsoodloo
9%
Pranesh Munirethinam
9%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
9%
Pranav Venkatesh
9%
Rudik Makarian
9%
Sam Sevian
9%
Sergey Sklokin
9%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
9%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
9%
Gukesh Dommaraju
9%
Wei Yi
9%
Vladimir Fedoseev
9%
Brandon Jacobson
9%
Sina Movahed
9%
Andrey Esipenko
9%
Alexander Grischuk
9%
Aleksandar Indjic
9%
Aleksandr Shimanov
9%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
9%
Dmitry Andreikin
9%
Jeffery Xiong
9%
Levon Aronian
9%
Le Tuan Minh
9%
Matthias Bluebaum
9%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
9%
Nihal Sarin
9%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
9%
Renato Terry Lujan
9%
Rasmus Svane
9%
Vincent Keymer
9%
Wesley So
9%
Ding Liren
9%
Faustino Oro
8%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
8%
Tuomas Turunen
8%
David Anton
8%
Dau Khuong Duy
8%
If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Magnus Carlsen and Hikaru Nakamura top trader consensus for the September 1 Titled Tuesday at 18% and 17.5% implied probability due to their unmatched historical records in the weekly Chess.com blitz event, including dozens of prior victories and consistent top finishes against deep fields of 400-plus titled players. Recent results underscore the event’s variance, with Jan-Krzysztof Duda claiming his fourth 2026 win on August 25 ahead of Arjun Erigaisi, Tuan Minh Le prevailing the prior week, and Artin Ashraf taking the August 11 edition. Alireza Firouzja, Denis Lazavik, and others have also notched recent triumphs, while strong ratings and occasional participation from players like Fabiano Caruana and Nodirbek Abdusattorov keep the field competitive. The bunched probabilities reflect blitz volatility, large Swiss pairings, and the absence of any participant who reliably sweeps the field week after week.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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