Recent political tensions in Ukraine center on leadership reshuffles and anti-corruption actions rather than organized challenges to constitutional authority. The July 2026 dismissal of reform-minded Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov sparked protests that later faded, followed by his August video criticizing governance and calling for elections under martial law, which the constitution restricts. Anti-corruption raids by NABU and SAPO on presidential office figures, including deputy Iryna Mudra, and related money-laundering probes have prompted further dismissals, highlighting institutional friction without evidence of coordinated military or parliamentary moves to seize power. Parliament approved a new defense minister, and Zelenskyy maintains approval near 60 percent amid the Russia conflict. Trader consensus reflects these domestic strains alongside the barriers posed by wartime conditions and security service oversight, with resolution likely hinging on verifiable escalations in leadership disputes or failed constitutional processes before any scheduled votes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$169,304 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
2%
$169,304 Vol.
December 31
$151,468 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent political tensions in Ukraine center on leadership reshuffles and anti-corruption actions rather than organized challenges to constitutional authority. The July 2026 dismissal of reform-minded Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov sparked protests that later faded, followed by his August video criticizing governance and calling for elections under martial law, which the constitution restricts. Anti-corruption raids by NABU and SAPO on presidential office figures, including deputy Iryna Mudra, and related money-laundering probes have prompted further dismissals, highlighting institutional friction without evidence of coordinated military or parliamentary moves to seize power. Parliament approved a new defense minister, and Zelenskyy maintains approval near 60 percent amid the Russia conflict. Trader consensus reflects these domestic strains alongside the barriers posed by wartime conditions and security service oversight, with resolution likely hinging on verifiable escalations in leadership disputes or failed constitutional processes before any scheduled votes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
Volume
$169,304End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent political tensions in Ukraine center on leadership reshuffles and anti-corruption actions rather than organized challenges to constitutional authority. The July 2026 dismissal of reform-minded Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov sparked protests that later faded, followed by his August video criticizing governance and calling for elections under martial law, which the constitution restricts. Anti-corruption raids by NABU and SAPO on presidential office figures, including deputy Iryna Mudra, and related money-laundering probes have prompted further dismissals, highlighting institutional friction without evidence of coordinated military or parliamentary moves to seize power. Parliament approved a new defense minister, and Zelenskyy maintains approval near 60 percent amid the Russia conflict. Trader consensus reflects these domestic strains alongside the barriers posed by wartime conditions and security service oversight, with resolution likely hinging on verifiable escalations in leadership disputes or failed constitutional processes before any scheduled votes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$169,304End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent political tensions in Ukraine center on leadership reshuffles and anti-corruption actions rather than organized challenges to constitutional authority. The July 2026 dismissal of reform-minded Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov sparked protests that later faded, followed by his August video criticizing governance and calling for elections under martial law, which the constitution restricts. Anti-corruption raids by NABU and SAPO on presidential office figures, including deputy Iryna Mudra, and related money-laundering probes have prompted further dismissals, highlighting institutional friction without evidence of coordinated military or parliamentary moves to seize power. Parliament approved a new defense minister, and Zelenskyy maintains approval near 60 percent amid the Russia conflict. Trader consensus reflects these domestic strains alongside the barriers posed by wartime conditions and security service oversight, with resolution likely hinging on verifiable escalations in leadership disputes or failed constitutional processes before any scheduled votes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions