Aryna Sabalenka enters as the two-time defending champion and world No. 1 but arrives with inconsistent recent hard-court results, including a straight-sets loss in Cincinnati. Elena Rybakina’s fitness remains uncertain after retiring from her Cincinnati quarterfinal with an apparent Achilles issue, while Iga Swiatek showed fatigue following a lengthy semifinal loss there. Coco Gauff carries strong momentum after capturing the Cincinnati title without dropping a set in the knockout rounds, and Jessica Pegula leads the American contingent with solid win totals this season. The main draw begins August 30, so early-round matchups, rest, and any late withdrawals will shape which players clear the first three rounds to reach the round of 16.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIga Swiatek
86%
Aryna Sabalenka
85%
Coco Gauff
78%
Jessica Pegula
76%
Mirra Andreeva
70%
Madison Keys
63%
Karolina Muchova
63%
Linda Noskova
57%
Amanda Anisimova
57%
Jasmine Paolini
55%
Elina Svitolina
55%
Elena Rybakina
53%
Naomi Osaka
48%
Marta Kostyuk
45%
Iva Jovic
39%
Jelena Ostapenko
33%
Barbora Krejcikova
31%
Belinda Bencic
31%
Emma Navarro
28%
Marie Bouzkova
23%
Maria Sakkari
23%
Diana Shnaider
22%
Leylah Fernandez
19%
Anna Kalinskaya
19%
Anastasia Potapova
19%
Alexandra Eala
17%
Ann Li
17%
Sorana Cirstea
16%
Elise Mertens
15%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
14%
Sara Bejlek
14%
Sofia Kenin
9%
Maja Chwalinska
9%
Taylah Preston
8%
Reese Brantmeier
7%
Carol Young Suh Lee
7%
Leolia Jeanjean
6%
Thea Frodin
6%
Sloane Stephens
6%
Venus Williams
3%
$445 Vol.
Iga Swiatek
86%
Aryna Sabalenka
85%
Coco Gauff
78%
Jessica Pegula
76%
Mirra Andreeva
70%
Madison Keys
63%
Karolina Muchova
63%
Linda Noskova
57%
Amanda Anisimova
57%
Jasmine Paolini
55%
Elina Svitolina
55%
Elena Rybakina
53%
Naomi Osaka
48%
Marta Kostyuk
45%
Iva Jovic
39%
Jelena Ostapenko
33%
Barbora Krejcikova
31%
Belinda Bencic
31%
Emma Navarro
28%
Marie Bouzkova
23%
Maria Sakkari
23%
Diana Shnaider
22%
Leylah Fernandez
19%
Anna Kalinskaya
19%
Anastasia Potapova
19%
Alexandra Eala
17%
Ann Li
17%
Sorana Cirstea
16%
Elise Mertens
15%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
14%
Sara Bejlek
14%
Sofia Kenin
9%
Maja Chwalinska
9%
Taylah Preston
8%
Reese Brantmeier
7%
Carol Young Suh Lee
7%
Leolia Jeanjean
6%
Thea Frodin
6%
Sloane Stephens
6%
Venus Williams
3%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Round of 16 at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Round of 16 have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Aryna Sabalenka enters as the two-time defending champion and world No. 1 but arrives with inconsistent recent hard-court results, including a straight-sets loss in Cincinnati. Elena Rybakina’s fitness remains uncertain after retiring from her Cincinnati quarterfinal with an apparent Achilles issue, while Iga Swiatek showed fatigue following a lengthy semifinal loss there. Coco Gauff carries strong momentum after capturing the Cincinnati title without dropping a set in the knockout rounds, and Jessica Pegula leads the American contingent with solid win totals this season. The main draw begins August 30, so early-round matchups, rest, and any late withdrawals will shape which players clear the first three rounds to reach the round of 16.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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