Aryna Sabalenka enters the 2026 US Open as the two-time defending champion and top seed but with recent inconsistent results, including early exits in Toronto and Cincinnati plus multiple three-set losses since her March hard-court titles. Elena Rybakina sits second in the rankings yet carries fitness concerns after retiring from her Cincinnati quarterfinal with a leg injury. Jessica Pegula and Coco Gauff arrive with strong momentum—Pegula with the most match wins this season and Gauff fresh off a Cincinnati title—while Iga Swiatek showed resilience but fatigue after a lengthy semifinal there. Hard-court conditions, draw positioning, and health management through best-of-three sets will shape paths to the final among the top seeds and in-form contenders like Mirra Andreeva and Alex Eala.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAryna Sabalenka
37%
Coco Gauff
19%
Iga Swiatek
16%
Elena Rybakina
15%
Mirra Andreeva
13%
Jessica Pegula
12%
Naomi Osaka
12%
Amanda Anisimova
9%
Alexandra Eala
9%
Linda Noskova
7%
Marta Kostyuk
7%
Karolina Muchova
6%
Elina Svitolina
6%
Emma Navarro
5%
Jasmine Paolini
5%
Madison Keys
5%
Belinda Bencic
4%
Iva Jovic
4%
Barbora Krejcikova
4%
Ann Li
4%
Jelena Ostapenko
4%
Diana Shnaider
3%
Sorana Cirstea
3%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
3%
Anastasia Potapova
3%
Maria Sakkari
3%
Sloane Stephens
3%
Anna Kalinskaya
3%
Elise Mertens
3%
Marie Bouzkova
3%
Sara Bejlek
3%
Leylah Fernandez
3%
Thea Frodin
3%
Carol Young Suh Lee
3%
Maja Chwalinska
3%
Reese Brantmeier
2%
Leolia Jeanjean
2%
Taylah Preston
2%
Sofia Kenin
1%
Venus Williams
1%
$5,313 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
37%
Coco Gauff
19%
Iga Swiatek
16%
Elena Rybakina
15%
Mirra Andreeva
13%
Jessica Pegula
12%
Naomi Osaka
12%
Amanda Anisimova
9%
Alexandra Eala
9%
Linda Noskova
7%
Marta Kostyuk
7%
Karolina Muchova
6%
Elina Svitolina
6%
Emma Navarro
5%
Jasmine Paolini
5%
Madison Keys
5%
Belinda Bencic
4%
Iva Jovic
4%
Barbora Krejcikova
4%
Ann Li
4%
Jelena Ostapenko
4%
Diana Shnaider
3%
Sorana Cirstea
3%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
3%
Anastasia Potapova
3%
Maria Sakkari
3%
Sloane Stephens
3%
Anna Kalinskaya
3%
Elise Mertens
3%
Marie Bouzkova
3%
Sara Bejlek
3%
Leylah Fernandez
3%
Thea Frodin
3%
Carol Young Suh Lee
3%
Maja Chwalinska
3%
Reese Brantmeier
2%
Leolia Jeanjean
2%
Taylah Preston
2%
Sofia Kenin
1%
Venus Williams
1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 11:44 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Final at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Final have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Aryna Sabalenka enters the 2026 US Open as the two-time defending champion and top seed but with recent inconsistent results, including early exits in Toronto and Cincinnati plus multiple three-set losses since her March hard-court titles. Elena Rybakina sits second in the rankings yet carries fitness concerns after retiring from her Cincinnati quarterfinal with a leg injury. Jessica Pegula and Coco Gauff arrive with strong momentum—Pegula with the most match wins this season and Gauff fresh off a Cincinnati title—while Iga Swiatek showed resilience but fatigue after a lengthy semifinal there. Hard-court conditions, draw positioning, and health management through best-of-three sets will shape paths to the final among the top seeds and in-form contenders like Mirra Andreeva and Alex Eala.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions