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icon for US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles)
Sports·WTA

US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles)

icon for US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles)
Sports·WTA

US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles)

NEW
Sep 10, 2026
Polymarket

$63 Vol.

Polymarket

Aryna Sabalenka

$21 Vol.

53%

Iga Swiatek

$21 Vol.

39%

Elena Rybakina

$21 Vol.

38%

Reese Brantmeier

$0 Vol.

27%

Leolia Jeanjean

$0 Vol.

27%

Sofia Kenin

$0 Vol.

27%

Carol Young Suh Lee

$0 Vol.

27%

Taylah Preston

$0 Vol.

27%

Coco Gauff

$0 Vol.

27%

Ann Li

$0 Vol.

26%

Jelena Ostapenko

$0 Vol.

25%

Thea Frodin

$0 Vol.

25%

Maja Chwalinska

$0 Vol.

25%

Sloane Stephens

$0 Vol.

25%

Venus Williams

$0 Vol.

24%

Jessica Pegula

$0 Vol.

19%

Mirra Andreeva

$0 Vol.

19%

Naomi Osaka

$0 Vol.

17%

Elina Svitolina

$0 Vol.

14%

Amanda Anisimova

$0 Vol.

14%

Marta Kostyuk

$0 Vol.

13%

Madison Keys

$21 Vol.

13%

Linda Noskova

$0 Vol.

12%

Emma Navarro

$0 Vol.

11%

Alexandra Eala

$0 Vol.

10%

Jasmine Paolini

$0 Vol.

10%

Sorana Cirstea

$0 Vol.

9%

Karolina Muchova

$0 Vol.

9%

Barbora Krejcikova

$0 Vol.

8%

Belinda Bencic

$0 Vol.

8%

Ekaterina Alexandrova

$0 Vol.

8%

Iva Jovic

$0 Vol.

7%

Anna Kalinskaya

$0 Vol.

7%

Marie Bouzkova

$0 Vol.

6%

Diana Shnaider

$0 Vol.

6%

Elise Mertens

$0 Vol.

6%

Maria Sakkari

$0 Vol.

5%

Anastasia Potapova

$0 Vol.

5%

Leylah Fernandez

$0 Vol.

5%

Sara Bejlek

$0 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka enters the 2026 US Open as the clear frontrunner to reach the women's singles semifinals, backed by her status as two-time defending champion, world No. 1 ranking, and strong recent hard-court results. Elena Rybakina, Jessica Pegula, Coco Gauff, and Iga Świątek follow closely in the WTA standings and contender rankings, with their hard-court consistency and major experience shaping trader views on advancement odds. The hard-court surface at Flushing Meadows favors power players who handle pace and depth well, while draw placement, recent form entering the final Grand Slam, and any late injury or fatigue concerns from the summer swing will influence path difficulty. With the main draw opening August 30, the tightly contested nature among the top tier leaves room for form surges or early-round upsets by players like Mirra Andreeva or Karolina Muchova.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$63
End Date
Sep 10, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:44 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka enters the 2026 US Open as the clear frontrunner to reach the women's singles semifinals, backed by her status as two-time defending champion, world No. 1 ranking, and strong recent hard-court results. Elena Rybakina, Jessica Pegula, Coco Gauff, and Iga Świątek follow closely in the WTA standings and contender rankings, with their hard-court consistency and major experience shaping trader views on advancement odds. The hard-court surface at Flushing Meadows favors power players who handle pace and depth well, while draw placement, recent form entering the final Grand Slam, and any late injury or fatigue concerns from the summer swing will influence path difficulty. With the main draw opening August 30, the tightly contested nature among the top tier leaves room for form surges or early-round upsets by players like Mirra Andreeva or Karolina Muchova.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$63
End Date
Sep 10, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:44 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 40+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 53%, followed by "Iga Swiatek" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles)" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles)," browse the 40+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles)" is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Iga Swiatek" at 39%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.