Carlos Alcaraz returns as defending champion after a four-month wrist injury absence, positioning him as the consensus favorite in a field altered by Jannik Sinner’s right knee withdrawal. Alexander Zverev enters as top seed with momentum from his French Open title and recent Grand Slam finals, while Novak Djokovic benefits from elevated seeding. Hard-court specialists such as Ben Shelton and Taylor Fritz, along with emerging talents including Rafael Jódar and Arthur Fils, factor into semifinal pathways given strong summer results. Official injury reports, match fitness for returning players, and early-round draw positions will shape progression probabilities ahead of the August 30 main draw start.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Sep 10, 2026
Valentin Vacherot
50%
Carlos Alcaraz
73%
Alexander Zverev
47%
Novak Djokovic
32%
Jack Kennedy
26%
Alejandro Tabilo
26%
Sebastian Gorzny
25%
Dane Sweeny
25%
J.J. Wolf
25%
Juncheng Shang
25%
Joao Fonseca
25%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
25%
Alexander Blockx
25%
Zizou Bergs
25%
Darwin Blanch
25%
Patrick Kypson
24%
Michael Zheng
24%
Thanasi Kokkinakis
24%
Filip Misolic
24%
Carlos Taberner
24%
Arthur Rinderknech
24%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
23%
Arthur Fils
21%
Daniil Medvedev
18%
Ben Shelton
18%
Taylor Fritz
14%
Lorenzo Musetti
12%
Frances Tiafoe
11%
Alex de Minaur
11%
Alexander Bublik
10%
Jiri Lehecka
9%
Flavio Cobolli
9%
Rafael Jodar
8%
Jakub Mensik
8%
Casper Ruud
8%
Tommy Paul
8%
Andrey Rublev
8%
Francisco Cerundolo
8%
Learner Tien
6%
Gael Monfils
6%
Brandon Nakashima
6%
Luciano Darderi
5%
Ugo Humbert
5%
Cameron Norrie
5%
$133 Vol.
Valentin Vacherot
$0 Vol.
50%
Carlos Alcaraz
$50 Vol.
73%
Alexander Zverev
$21 Vol.
47%
Novak Djokovic
$0 Vol.
32%
Jack Kennedy
$0 Vol.
26%
Alejandro Tabilo
$0 Vol.
26%
Sebastian Gorzny
$0 Vol.
25%
Dane Sweeny
$0 Vol.
25%
J.J. Wolf
$0 Vol.
25%
Juncheng Shang
$0 Vol.
25%
Joao Fonseca
$0 Vol.
25%
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
$0 Vol.
25%
Alexander Blockx
$0 Vol.
25%
Zizou Bergs
$0 Vol.
25%
Darwin Blanch
$0 Vol.
25%
Patrick Kypson
$0 Vol.
24%
Michael Zheng
$0 Vol.
24%
Thanasi Kokkinakis
$0 Vol.
24%
Filip Misolic
$0 Vol.
24%
Carlos Taberner
$0 Vol.
24%
Arthur Rinderknech
$0 Vol.
24%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
$41 Vol.
23%
Arthur Fils
$21 Vol.
21%
Daniil Medvedev
$0 Vol.
18%
Ben Shelton
$0 Vol.
18%
Taylor Fritz
$0 Vol.
14%
Lorenzo Musetti
$0 Vol.
12%
Frances Tiafoe
$0 Vol.
11%
Alex de Minaur
$0 Vol.
11%
Alexander Bublik
$0 Vol.
10%
Jiri Lehecka
$0 Vol.
9%
Flavio Cobolli
$0 Vol.
9%
Rafael Jodar
$0 Vol.
8%
Jakub Mensik
$0 Vol.
8%
Casper Ruud
$0 Vol.
8%
Tommy Paul
$0 Vol.
8%
Andrey Rublev
$0 Vol.
8%
Francisco Cerundolo
$0 Vol.
8%
Learner Tien
$0 Vol.
6%
Gael Monfils
$0 Vol.
6%
Brandon Nakashima
$0 Vol.
6%
Luciano Darderi
$0 Vol.
5%
Ugo Humbert
$0 Vol.
5%
Cameron Norrie
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Alcaraz returns as defending champion after a four-month wrist injury absence, positioning him as the consensus favorite in a field altered by Jannik Sinner’s right knee withdrawal. Alexander Zverev enters as top seed with momentum from his French Open title and recent Grand Slam finals, while Novak Djokovic benefits from elevated seeding. Hard-court specialists such as Ben Shelton and Taylor Fritz, along with emerging talents including Rafael Jódar and Arthur Fils, factor into semifinal pathways given strong summer results. Official injury reports, match fitness for returning players, and early-round draw positions will shape progression probabilities ahead of the August 30 main draw start.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 11:26 AM ET
Volume
$133End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Alcaraz returns as defending champion after a four-month wrist injury absence, positioning him as the consensus favorite in a field altered by Jannik Sinner’s right knee withdrawal. Alexander Zverev enters as top seed with momentum from his French Open title and recent Grand Slam finals, while Novak Djokovic benefits from elevated seeding. Hard-court specialists such as Ben Shelton and Taylor Fritz, along with emerging talents including Rafael Jódar and Arthur Fils, factor into semifinal pathways given strong summer results. Official injury reports, match fitness for returning players, and early-round draw positions will shape progression probabilities ahead of the August 30 main draw start.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$133End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Carlos Alcaraz returns as defending champion after a four-month wrist injury absence, positioning him as the consensus favorite in a field altered by Jannik Sinner’s right knee withdrawal. Alexander Zverev enters as top seed with momentum from his French Open title and recent Grand Slam finals, while Novak Djokovic benefits from elevated seeding. Hard-court specialists such as Ben Shelton and Taylor Fritz, along with emerging talents including Rafael Jódar and Arthur Fils, factor into semifinal pathways given strong summer results. Official injury reports, match fitness for returning players, and early-round draw positions will shape progression probabilities ahead of the August 30 main draw start.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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