Traders price the USD/JPY year-end 2026 close primarily around the 150-170 band due to persistent U.S.-Japan policy divergence and recent coordinated interventions. The Fed has held its federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% amid elevated inflation and mixed labor data, while the Bank of Japan maintains its 1% policy rate following June's hike, with markets anticipating further tightening. Late-July yen-buying intervention, backed by both authorities, briefly lifted the pair from near 164 toward 155 before it stabilized near 159 in mid-August, underscoring authorities' willingness to curb excessive weakness. Upcoming FOMC and BoJ decisions through year-end represent key swing factors that could shift implied probabilities within the closely contested range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated150-160 44%
140-150 29.0%
160-170 29%
<140 12%
NEW
NEW
Dec 30, 2026
<140
12%
140-150
22%
150-160
37%
160-170
31%
170-180
10%
180+
5%
150-160 44%
140-150 29.0%
160-170 29%
<140 12%
NEW
NEW
Dec 30, 2026
<140
$478 Vol.
12%
140-150
$189 Vol.
22%
150-160
$1,623 Vol.
37%
160-170
$266 Vol.
31%
170-180
$136 Vol.
10%
180+
$200 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the finalized Investing.com close price (“C”) for the USD/JPY daily candle on December 31, 2026.
Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to data from the latest 2026 date available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “C” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Traders price the USD/JPY year-end 2026 close primarily around the 150-170 band due to persistent U.S.-Japan policy divergence and recent coordinated interventions. The Fed has held its federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% amid elevated inflation and mixed labor data, while the Bank of Japan maintains its 1% policy rate following June's hike, with markets anticipating further tightening. Late-July yen-buying intervention, backed by both authorities, briefly lifted the pair from near 164 toward 155 before it stabilized near 159 in mid-August, underscoring authorities' willingness to curb excessive weakness. Upcoming FOMC and BoJ decisions through year-end represent key swing factors that could shift implied probabilities within the closely contested range.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Investing.com close price (“C”) for the USD/JPY daily candle on December 31, 2026.
Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to data from the latest 2026 date available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “C” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to data from the latest 2026 date available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “C” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Jun 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
Volume
$2,892End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized Investing.com close price (“C”) for the USD/JPY daily candle on December 31, 2026.
Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to data from the latest 2026 date available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “C” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Traders price the USD/JPY year-end 2026 close primarily around the 150-170 band due to persistent U.S.-Japan policy divergence and recent coordinated interventions. The Fed has held its federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% amid elevated inflation and mixed labor data, while the Bank of Japan maintains its 1% policy rate following June's hike, with markets anticipating further tightening. Late-July yen-buying intervention, backed by both authorities, briefly lifted the pair from near 164 toward 155 before it stabilized near 159 in mid-August, underscoring authorities' willingness to curb excessive weakness. Upcoming FOMC and BoJ decisions through year-end represent key swing factors that could shift implied probabilities within the closely contested range.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Investing.com close price (“C”) for the USD/JPY daily candle on December 31, 2026.
Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to data from the latest 2026 date available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “C” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to data from the latest 2026 date available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “C” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$2,892End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders price the USD/JPY year-end 2026 close primarily around the 150-170 band due to persistent U.S.-Japan policy divergence and recent coordinated interventions. The Fed has held its federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75% amid elevated inflation and mixed labor data, while the Bank of Japan maintains its 1% policy rate following June's hike, with markets anticipating further tightening. Late-July yen-buying intervention, backed by both authorities, briefly lifted the pair from near 164 toward 155 before it stabilized near 159 in mid-August, underscoring authorities' willingness to curb excessive weakness. Upcoming FOMC and BoJ decisions through year-end represent key swing factors that could shift implied probabilities within the closely contested range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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