Recent NYC housing data through July 2026 show median sale prices holding in the $800K–$900K range with modest 1–5% year-over-year gains across boroughs, supported by tight inventory and limited new supply. High mortgage rates continue to constrain buyer demand and transaction volumes, while seasonal summer slowdowns and stable labor-market conditions limit near-term appreciation into late September. The tight 37.5–39.1% split between the $636K–$663K and $663K–$689K bins reflects trader focus on these counterbalancing forces, with upside hinging on any acceleration in closings or inventory shifts and downside tied to further rate pressure or weaker seasonal activity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$663K - $689K 55.0%
$636K - $663K 42.0%
$689K+ 4.0%
$609K - $636K 2.5%
$39,224 Vol.
$39,224 Vol.
Sep 29, 2026
<$555K
<1%
$555K - $582K
<1%
$582K - $609K
1%
$609K - $636K
2%
$636K - $663K
38%
$663K - $689K
39%
$689K+
11%
$663K - $689K 55.0%
$636K - $663K 42.0%
$689K+ 4.0%
$609K - $636K 2.5%
$39,224 Vol.
$39,224 Vol.
Sep 29, 2026
<$555K
$693 Vol.
<1%
$555K - $582K
$1,925 Vol.
<1%
$582K - $609K
$573 Vol.
1%
$609K - $636K
$8,023 Vol.
2%
$636K - $663K
$25,239 Vol.
38%
$663K - $689K
$1,764 Vol.
39%
$689K+
$1,006 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Recent NYC housing data through July 2026 show median sale prices holding in the $800K–$900K range with modest 1–5% year-over-year gains across boroughs, supported by tight inventory and limited new supply. High mortgage rates continue to constrain buyer demand and transaction volumes, while seasonal summer slowdowns and stable labor-market conditions limit near-term appreciation into late September. The tight 37.5–39.1% split between the $636K–$663K and $663K–$689K bins reflects trader focus on these counterbalancing forces, with upside hinging on any acceleration in closings or inventory shifts and downside tied to further rate pressure or weaker seasonal activity.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Market Opened: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Volume
$39,224End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Recent NYC housing data through July 2026 show median sale prices holding in the $800K–$900K range with modest 1–5% year-over-year gains across boroughs, supported by tight inventory and limited new supply. High mortgage rates continue to constrain buyer demand and transaction volumes, while seasonal summer slowdowns and stable labor-market conditions limit near-term appreciation into late September. The tight 37.5–39.1% split between the $636K–$663K and $663K–$689K bins reflects trader focus on these counterbalancing forces, with upside hinging on any acceleration in closings or inventory shifts and downside tied to further rate pressure or weaker seasonal activity.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Volume
$39,224End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent NYC housing data through July 2026 show median sale prices holding in the $800K–$900K range with modest 1–5% year-over-year gains across boroughs, supported by tight inventory and limited new supply. High mortgage rates continue to constrain buyer demand and transaction volumes, while seasonal summer slowdowns and stable labor-market conditions limit near-term appreciation into late September. The tight 37.5–39.1% split between the $636K–$663K and $663K–$689K bins reflects trader focus on these counterbalancing forces, with upside hinging on any acceleration in closings or inventory shifts and downside tied to further rate pressure or weaker seasonal activity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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