Persistent low inventory and competitive buyer demand continue to support upward pressure on Chicago metro home values, with Zillow’s Home Value Index at approximately $338,000 as of late July 2026 and year-over-year gains of 4.5%. Median sale prices reached $401,000 in July, reflecting 6.8% annual growth, while tight supply—down over 11% year-over-year—has kept the market competitive despite mortgage rates near 6.5%. With only weeks until September 30 resolution, trader consensus clusters in the $335,000–$345,000 range as the most likely outcomes, balancing recent appreciation trends against potential seasonal moderation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$335K - $340K 38%
$340K - $345K 31%
$345K+ 15%
$330K - $335K 10.9%
$83,127 Vol.
$83,127 Vol.
<$320K
1%
$320K - $325K
1%
$325K - $330K
5%
$330K - $335K
11%
$335K - $340K
38%
$340K - $345K
31%
$345K+
15%
$335K - $340K 38%
$340K - $345K 31%
$345K+ 15%
$330K - $335K 10.9%
$83,127 Vol.
$83,127 Vol.
<$320K
1%
$320K - $325K
1%
$325K - $330K
5%
$330K - $335K
11%
$335K - $340K
38%
$340K - $345K
31%
$345K+
15%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
Market Opened: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent low inventory and competitive buyer demand continue to support upward pressure on Chicago metro home values, with Zillow’s Home Value Index at approximately $338,000 as of late July 2026 and year-over-year gains of 4.5%. Median sale prices reached $401,000 in July, reflecting 6.8% annual growth, while tight supply—down over 11% year-over-year—has kept the market competitive despite mortgage rates near 6.5%. With only weeks until September 30 resolution, trader consensus clusters in the $335,000–$345,000 range as the most likely outcomes, balancing recent appreciation trends against potential seasonal moderation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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