Recent data show the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria metro housing market exhibiting mixed momentum, with Zillow Home Value Index levels near $584,000 in June 2026 and median listing prices around $579,000–$585,000 through July, amid 9–12% year-over-year inventory gains and days on market extending to 31–39. Increased supply, particularly in condominiums, has contributed to more frequent price reductions and modest softening in some segments, while detached single-family homes continue to support overall valuations through stronger sales and limited months of supply near 2.5–2.7. With September 30 resolution approaching amid typical seasonal easing in showings and contracts, trader sentiment in the closely matched $512K–$518K and $518K–$524K bins reflects expectations for limited near-term movement in the targeted median value index, tempered by uncertainty over whether inventory-driven pressure or resilient buyer demand in core counties will predominate.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhat will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
$512K - $518K 36.7%
$518K - $524K 33.3%
$536K - $542K 4.1%
$530K - $536K 3.6%
$41,592 Vol.
$41,592 Vol.
Sep 29, 2026
<$512K
<1%
$512K - $518K
37%
$518K - $524K
33%
$524K - $530K
6%
$530K - $536K
4%
$536K - $542K
4%
$542K+
3%
$512K - $518K 36.7%
$518K - $524K 33.3%
$536K - $542K 4.1%
$530K - $536K 3.6%
$41,592 Vol.
$41,592 Vol.
Sep 29, 2026
<$512K
$1,035 Vol.
<1%
$512K - $518K
$4,939 Vol.
37%
$518K - $524K
$14,430 Vol.
33%
$524K - $530K
$4,735 Vol.
6%
$530K - $536K
$4,206 Vol.
4%
$536K - $542K
$7,922 Vol.
4%
$542K+
$4,326 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)Recent data show the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria metro housing market exhibiting mixed momentum, with Zillow Home Value Index levels near $584,000 in June 2026 and median listing prices around $579,000–$585,000 through July, amid 9–12% year-over-year inventory gains and days on market extending to 31–39. Increased supply, particularly in condominiums, has contributed to more frequent price reductions and modest softening in some segments, while detached single-family homes continue to support overall valuations through stronger sales and limited months of supply near 2.5–2.7. With September 30 resolution approaching amid typical seasonal easing in showings and contracts, trader sentiment in the closely matched $512K–$518K and $518K–$524K bins reflects expectations for limited near-term movement in the targeted median value index, tempered by uncertainty over whether inventory-driven pressure or resilient buyer demand in core counties will predominate.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
Market Opened: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Volume
$41,592End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)Recent data show the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria metro housing market exhibiting mixed momentum, with Zillow Home Value Index levels near $584,000 in June 2026 and median listing prices around $579,000–$585,000 through July, amid 9–12% year-over-year inventory gains and days on market extending to 31–39. Increased supply, particularly in condominiums, has contributed to more frequent price reductions and modest softening in some segments, while detached single-family homes continue to support overall valuations through stronger sales and limited months of supply near 2.5–2.7. With September 30 resolution approaching amid typical seasonal easing in showings and contracts, trader sentiment in the closely matched $512K–$518K and $518K–$524K bins reflects expectations for limited near-term movement in the targeted median value index, tempered by uncertainty over whether inventory-driven pressure or resilient buyer demand in core counties will predominate.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
Volume
$41,592End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent data show the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria metro housing market exhibiting mixed momentum, with Zillow Home Value Index levels near $584,000 in June 2026 and median listing prices around $579,000–$585,000 through July, amid 9–12% year-over-year inventory gains and days on market extending to 31–39. Increased supply, particularly in condominiums, has contributed to more frequent price reductions and modest softening in some segments, while detached single-family homes continue to support overall valuations through stronger sales and limited months of supply near 2.5–2.7. With September 30 resolution approaching amid typical seasonal easing in showings and contracts, trader sentiment in the closely matched $512K–$518K and $518K–$524K bins reflects expectations for limited near-term movement in the targeted median value index, tempered by uncertainty over whether inventory-driven pressure or resilient buyer demand in core counties will predominate.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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