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icon for Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

icon for Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

31% chance
Polymarket

$151,653 Vol.

31% chance
Polymarket

$151,653 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.**Ongoing state antitrust litigation and court-ordered delays make a 2026 close improbable.** Paramount Skydance’s $111 billion all-cash acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery cleared major federal hurdles, including DOJ approval in June 2026 and EU clearance in July after Paramount exited its United International Pictures joint venture. Warner shareholders also approved the deal in April. However, a July 2026 lawsuit by 12 state attorneys general alleging reduced competition in streaming, film distribution, and cable triggered a temporary restraining order that a federal judge extended through at least mid-August. The companies later committed not to close before June 1, 2027 (or final legal resolution), with the antitrust trial now scheduled for March 2027. The merger agreement itself expires in March 2027 (extendable once). Settlement discussions with California’s attorney general are slated for late August, but recent reports highlight projected job losses exceeding 15,000 in Los Angeles and union pushback, adding political friction. With only four months remaining until year-end and no quick path around the litigation, market-implied odds heavily favor “No.”

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
Volume
$151,653
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 11:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.**Ongoing state antitrust litigation and court-ordered delays make a 2026 close improbable.** Paramount Skydance’s $111 billion all-cash acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery cleared major federal hurdles, including DOJ approval in June 2026 and EU clearance in July after Paramount exited its United International Pictures joint venture. Warner shareholders also approved the deal in April. However, a July 2026 lawsuit by 12 state attorneys general alleging reduced competition in streaming, film distribution, and cable triggered a temporary restraining order that a federal judge extended through at least mid-August. The companies later committed not to close before June 1, 2027 (or final legal resolution), with the antitrust trial now scheduled for March 2027. The merger agreement itself expires in March 2027 (extendable once). Settlement discussions with California’s attorney general are slated for late August, but recent reports highlight projected job losses exceeding 15,000 in Los Angeles and union pushback, adding political friction. With only four months remaining until year-end and no quick path around the litigation, market-implied odds heavily favor “No.”

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
Volume
$151,653
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 11:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 24% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 24¢, the market collectively assigns a 24% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?" has generated $151.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 8, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?" is 24% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 24% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.