UAE officials explicitly ruled out withdrawal from the Gulf Cooperation Council after the country's April 2026 exit from OPEC amid oil policy disputes and broader Saudi-Emirati divergences on Yemen, Sudan, and Iran-related security responses. Despite these frictions and occasional speculation about reduced multilateral engagement, the UAE has continued participating in GCC coordination on regional defense, condemnations of Iranian attacks, and joint statements through mid-2026. Traders assign a 95.5% probability to the UAE remaining a member through December 31 because no formal exit process has begun and institutional ties persist. A sudden breakdown in bilateral diplomacy or major policy clash could still prompt reconsideration before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
5% chance
$100,506 Vol.
$100,506 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
5% chance
$100,506 Vol.
$100,506 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.UAE officials explicitly ruled out withdrawal from the Gulf Cooperation Council after the country's April 2026 exit from OPEC amid oil policy disputes and broader Saudi-Emirati divergences on Yemen, Sudan, and Iran-related security responses. Despite these frictions and occasional speculation about reduced multilateral engagement, the UAE has continued participating in GCC coordination on regional defense, condemnations of Iranian attacks, and joint statements through mid-2026. Traders assign a 95.5% probability to the UAE remaining a member through December 31 because no formal exit process has begun and institutional ties persist. A sudden breakdown in bilateral diplomacy or major policy clash could still prompt reconsideration before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
Volume
$100,506End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.UAE officials explicitly ruled out withdrawal from the Gulf Cooperation Council after the country's April 2026 exit from OPEC amid oil policy disputes and broader Saudi-Emirati divergences on Yemen, Sudan, and Iran-related security responses. Despite these frictions and occasional speculation about reduced multilateral engagement, the UAE has continued participating in GCC coordination on regional defense, condemnations of Iranian attacks, and joint statements through mid-2026. Traders assign a 95.5% probability to the UAE remaining a member through December 31 because no formal exit process has begun and institutional ties persist. A sudden breakdown in bilateral diplomacy or major policy clash could still prompt reconsideration before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$100,506End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...UAE officials explicitly ruled out withdrawal from the Gulf Cooperation Council after the country's April 2026 exit from OPEC amid oil policy disputes and broader Saudi-Emirati divergences on Yemen, Sudan, and Iran-related security responses. Despite these frictions and occasional speculation about reduced multilateral engagement, the UAE has continued participating in GCC coordination on regional defense, condemnations of Iranian attacks, and joint statements through mid-2026. Traders assign a 95.5% probability to the UAE remaining a member through December 31 because no formal exit process has begun and institutional ties persist. A sudden breakdown in bilateral diplomacy or major policy clash could still prompt reconsideration before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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