Recent softening in July US nonfarm payrolls and contained July CPI readings have tempered market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September FOMC meeting, easing pressure on gold as real yields and the dollar moderate. Ongoing Middle East tensions continue to underpin safe-haven demand, while central bank purchases provide structural support. Traders are now focused on the August employment report, core PCE, and signals from Jackson Hole for clarity on the Fed’s policy path through year-end, with gold recently trading near $4,600 amid these crosscurrents.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated↑ $4,950
6%
↑ $4,900
8%
↑ $4,850
14%
↑ $4,800
27%
↑ $4,750
45%
↑ $4,700
68%
↑ $4,650
100%
↓ $4,550
48%
↓ $4,500
29%
↓ $4,450
17%
↓ $4,400
8%
↓ $4,350
5%
↓ $4,300
4%
$5,604 Vol.
↑ $4,950
6%
↑ $4,900
8%
↑ $4,850
14%
↑ $4,800
27%
↑ $4,750
45%
↑ $4,700
68%
↑ $4,650
100%
↓ $4,550
48%
↓ $4,500
29%
↓ $4,450
17%
↓ $4,400
8%
↓ $4,350
5%
↓ $4,300
4%
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Recent softening in July US nonfarm payrolls and contained July CPI readings have tempered market-implied odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the September FOMC meeting, easing pressure on gold as real yields and the dollar moderate. Ongoing Middle East tensions continue to underpin safe-haven demand, while central bank purchases provide structural support. Traders are now focused on the August employment report, core PCE, and signals from Jackson Hole for clarity on the Fed’s policy path through year-end, with gold recently trading near $4,600 amid these crosscurrents.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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