Gold prices have surged above $4,600 per ounce in mid-August 2026, extending a rally exceeding 5% in the prior week and breaking decisively above the 200-day moving average amid a sharp weakening in the U.S. dollar and lower long-term Treasury yields. The primary catalyst stems from the U.S. Treasury's decision to at least double buybacks of 10- to 30-year bonds, starting at a minimum $4 billion per operation, which has fueled fiscal sustainability concerns and a debasement narrative as total U.S. debt surpassed $40 trillion. This dynamic has reinforced gold's safe-haven appeal alongside sustained central bank purchases, notably from China, elevated oil prices tied to Middle East tensions, and ETF inflows. Traders now focus on the July PCE inflation release and Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole remarks later in the week for signals on monetary policy and real yields, with technical resistance eyed near $4,700.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedXAUUSD$4,641.39+0.82%
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
↑ $4,950
6%
↑ $4,900
7%
↑ $4,850
14%
↑ $4,800
27%
↑ $4,750
43%
↑ $4,700
67%
↓ $4,550
50%
↓ $4,500
30%
↓ $4,450
17%
↓ $4,400
8%
↓ $4,350
6%
↓ $4,300
4%
XAUUSD$4,641.39+0.82%
$5,624 Vol.
↑ $4,950
$517 Vol.
6%
↑ $4,900
$480 Vol.
7%
↑ $4,850
$103 Vol.
14%
↑ $4,800
$293 Vol.
27%
↑ $4,750
$921 Vol.
43%
↑ $4,700
$635 Vol.
67%
↓ $4,550
$310 Vol.
50%
↓ $4,500
$140 Vol.
30%
↓ $4,450
$37 Vol.
17%
↓ $4,400
$8 Vol.
8%
↓ $4,350
$200 Vol.
6%
↓ $4,300
$285 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of August 24 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Gold prices have surged above $4,600 per ounce in mid-August 2026, extending a rally exceeding 5% in the prior week and breaking decisively above the 200-day moving average amid a sharp weakening in the U.S. dollar and lower long-term Treasury yields. The primary catalyst stems from the U.S. Treasury's decision to at least double buybacks of 10- to 30-year bonds, starting at a minimum $4 billion per operation, which has fueled fiscal sustainability concerns and a debasement narrative as total U.S. debt surpassed $40 trillion. This dynamic has reinforced gold's safe-haven appeal alongside sustained central bank purchases, notably from China, elevated oil prices tied to Middle East tensions, and ETF inflows. Traders now focus on the July PCE inflation release and Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole remarks later in the week for signals on monetary policy and real yields, with technical resistance eyed near $4,700.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of August 24 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Volume
$5,624End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of August 24 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Gold prices have surged above $4,600 per ounce in mid-August 2026, extending a rally exceeding 5% in the prior week and breaking decisively above the 200-day moving average amid a sharp weakening in the U.S. dollar and lower long-term Treasury yields. The primary catalyst stems from the U.S. Treasury's decision to at least double buybacks of 10- to 30-year bonds, starting at a minimum $4 billion per operation, which has fueled fiscal sustainability concerns and a debasement narrative as total U.S. debt surpassed $40 trillion. This dynamic has reinforced gold's safe-haven appeal alongside sustained central bank purchases, notably from China, elevated oil prices tied to Middle East tensions, and ETF inflows. Traders now focus on the July PCE inflation release and Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole remarks later in the week for signals on monetary policy and real yields, with technical resistance eyed near $4,700.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of August 24 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Volume
$5,624End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Gold prices have surged above $4,600 per ounce in mid-August 2026, extending a rally exceeding 5% in the prior week and breaking decisively above the 200-day moving average amid a sharp weakening in the U.S. dollar and lower long-term Treasury yields. The primary catalyst stems from the U.S. Treasury's decision to at least double buybacks of 10- to 30-year bonds, starting at a minimum $4 billion per operation, which has fueled fiscal sustainability concerns and a debasement narrative as total U.S. debt surpassed $40 trillion. This dynamic has reinforced gold's safe-haven appeal alongside sustained central bank purchases, notably from China, elevated oil prices tied to Middle East tensions, and ETF inflows. Traders now focus on the July PCE inflation release and Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole remarks later in the week for signals on monetary policy and real yields, with technical resistance eyed near $4,700.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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