Skip to main content
icon for PGA Tour: TOUR Championship Winner
Sports·PGA

PGA Tour: TOUR Championship Winner

icon for PGA Tour: TOUR Championship Winner
Sports·PGA

PGA Tour: TOUR Championship Winner

Winner

Top 5

Top 10

Top 20

Winner

Top 5

Top 10

Top 20

Scottie Scheffler 28%

Rory McIlroy 26%

Chris Gotterup 26%

Viktor Hovland 26%

Polymarket
NEW

Scottie Scheffler 28%

Rory McIlroy 26%

Chris Gotterup 26%

Viktor Hovland 26%

Polymarket
NEW

Scottie Scheffler

$0 Vol.

28%

Rory McIlroy

$0 Vol.

26%

Chris Gotterup

$1 Vol.

26%

Viktor Hovland

$0 Vol.

26%

Adam Scott

$0 Vol.

26%

Alex Smalley

$0 Vol.

26%

J.J. Spaun

$0 Vol.

26%

Cameron Young

$0 Vol.

26%

Sam Burns

$0 Vol.

26%

Wyndham Clark

$0 Vol.

26%

Russell Henley

$0 Vol.

26%

Si Woo Kim

$0 Vol.

26%

Tom Kim

$0 Vol.

26%

Min Woo Lee

$0 Vol.

26%

Hideki Matsuyama

$0 Vol.

26%

Collin Morikawa

$0 Vol.

26%

Kristoffer Reitan

$0 Vol.

26%

Ludvig Aberg

$0 Vol.

26%

Jacob Bridgeman

$0 Vol.

26%

Akshay Bhatia

$0 Vol.

26%

Alex Fitzpatrick

$0 Vol.

26%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$0 Vol.

26%

Tommy Fleetwood

$0 Vol.

26%

Ryan Fox

$0 Vol.

26%

Justin Rose

$0 Vol.

26%

Xander Schauffele

$0 Vol.

26%

Ryan Gerard

$0 Vol.

26%

Kurt Kitayama

$5 Vol.

10%

Rickie Fowler

$10 Vol.

9%

Bud Cauley

$10 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by September 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).The tightly bunched probabilities for the 2026 TOUR Championship reflect a deep top-30 FedEx Cup field entering East Lake, where staggered starts and course-specific scoring create multiple viable paths to the title. Scottie Scheffler holds a narrow edge as the points leader with his consistent ball-striking and recent playoff positioning, while Rory McIlroy benefits from strong recent form and historical success at the event. Ludvig Åberg and other contenders like Cameron Young, Matt Fitzpatrick, and Wyndham Clark remain within striking distance due to solid summer results, head-to-head matchups in the BMW Championship, and the potential for low rounds on a familiar layout. This setup keeps implied probabilities clustered as any top performer can surge with favorable conditions or a hot streak.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by September 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Volume
$26
End Date
Aug 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.pgatour.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by September 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by September 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).The tightly bunched probabilities for the 2026 TOUR Championship reflect a deep top-30 FedEx Cup field entering East Lake, where staggered starts and course-specific scoring create multiple viable paths to the title. Scottie Scheffler holds a narrow edge as the points leader with his consistent ball-striking and recent playoff positioning, while Rory McIlroy benefits from strong recent form and historical success at the event. Ludvig Åberg and other contenders like Cameron Young, Matt Fitzpatrick, and Wyndham Clark remain within striking distance due to solid summer results, head-to-head matchups in the BMW Championship, and the potential for low rounds on a familiar layout. This setup keeps implied probabilities clustered as any top performer can surge with favorable conditions or a hot streak.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by September 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Volume
$26
End Date
Aug 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.pgatour.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by September 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).

Related

icon for Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 TOUR Championship?

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 TOUR Championship?

22%
icon for Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 TOUR Championship?

Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 TOUR Championship?

50%
icon for Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 TOUR Championship?

Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 TOUR Championship?

50%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"PGA Tour: TOUR Championship Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scottie Scheffler" at 28%, followed by "Rory McIlroy" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"PGA Tour: TOUR Championship Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 22, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "PGA Tour: TOUR Championship Winner," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "PGA Tour: TOUR Championship Winner" is "Scottie Scheffler" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Rory McIlroy" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "PGA Tour: TOUR Championship Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.