Traders see the 200-239 tweet range as the most probable for Elon Musk’s activity from August 25 to September 1 because his recent baseline on X hovers near 30 posts per day outside major news cycles. Recent weekly markets have settled in the 140-200 band during quieter stretches, while spikes above 300 occur only when political debates, Starship updates, or AI developments trigger extended reply threads and quote-tweets. With no high-profile launches or controversies currently scheduled, market-implied odds reflect a consensus that volume will stay in the mid-range without the late-week acceleration that has lifted prior periods into the 260-plus buckets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated200-219 14%
220-239 14%
240-259 13%
180-199 12%
$79,536 Vol.
$79,536 Vol.
Sep 1, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
3%
140-159
7%
160-179
9%
180-199
12%
200-219
14%
220-239
14%
240-259
13%
260-279
10%
280-299
7%
300-319
4%
320-339
3%
340-359
2%
360-379
2%
380-399
1%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
1%
500+
<1%
200-219 14%
220-239 14%
240-259 13%
180-199 12%
$79,536 Vol.
$79,536 Vol.
Sep 1, 2026
<20
$3,571 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$2,571 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$1,571 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$14,610 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$3,079 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$6,602 Vol.
1%
120-139
$6,013 Vol.
3%
140-159
$1,316 Vol.
7%
160-179
$1,100 Vol.
9%
180-199
$384 Vol.
12%
200-219
$1,176 Vol.
14%
220-239
$3,510 Vol.
14%
240-259
$3,047 Vol.
13%
260-279
$2,253 Vol.
10%
280-299
$1,954 Vol.
7%
300-319
$3,836 Vol.
4%
320-339
$1,711 Vol.
3%
340-359
$1,273 Vol.
2%
360-379
$2,315 Vol.
2%
380-399
$2,157 Vol.
1%
400-419
$2,451 Vol.
1%
420-439
$1,973 Vol.
1%
440-459
$1,351 Vol.
1%
460-479
$1,151 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$2,120 Vol.
1%
500+
$6,442 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 200-239 tweet range as the most probable for Elon Musk’s activity from August 25 to September 1 because his recent baseline on X hovers near 30 posts per day outside major news cycles. Recent weekly markets have settled in the 140-200 band during quieter stretches, while spikes above 300 occur only when political debates, Starship updates, or AI developments trigger extended reply threads and quote-tweets. With no high-profile launches or controversies currently scheduled, market-implied odds reflect a consensus that volume will stay in the mid-range without the late-week acceleration that has lifted prior periods into the 260-plus buckets.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$79,536End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 200-239 tweet range as the most probable for Elon Musk’s activity from August 25 to September 1 because his recent baseline on X hovers near 30 posts per day outside major news cycles. Recent weekly markets have settled in the 140-200 band during quieter stretches, while spikes above 300 occur only when political debates, Starship updates, or AI developments trigger extended reply threads and quote-tweets. With no high-profile launches or controversies currently scheduled, market-implied odds reflect a consensus that volume will stay in the mid-range without the late-week acceleration that has lifted prior periods into the 260-plus buckets.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$79,536End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 200-239 tweet range as the most probable for Elon Musk’s activity from August 25 to September 1 because his recent baseline on X hovers near 30 posts per day outside major news cycles. Recent weekly markets have settled in the 140-200 band during quieter stretches, while spikes above 300 occur only when political debates, Starship updates, or AI developments trigger extended reply threads and quote-tweets. With no high-profile launches or controversies currently scheduled, market-implied odds reflect a consensus that volume will stay in the mid-range without the late-week acceleration that has lifted prior periods into the 260-plus buckets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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